The reasonableness of possibility from the perspective of Cox

被引:6
作者
Snow, P
机构
[1] Concord, NH 03303-6134
关键词
Cox's theorem; non-Bayesian probability; defaults; possibility;
D O I
10.1111/0824-7935.00138
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
The possibility calculus is shown to be a reasonable belief representation in Cox's sense, even though possibility is formally different from probability. So-called linear possibility measures satisfy the equations that appear in Cos's theorem. Linear possibilities are known to be related to the full range of possibility measures through a method for I representing belief based on sets that is similar to a technique pioneered hy Cos in the probabilistic domain. Exploring the relationship between possibility and Cole's belief measures provides an opportunity to discuss some of the ways in which Cox dissented from Bayesian orthodoxy especially his tolerance of partially ordered belief and his rejection of prior probabilities for inference which begins in ignorance.
引用
收藏
页码:178 / 192
页数:15
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