Want to model a species niche? A step-by-step guideline on correlative ecological niche modelling

被引：281

作者：

Sillero, Neftali ^{[1
]}

Arenas-Castro, Salvador ^{[1
,2
]}

Enriquez-Urzelai, Urtzi ^{[3
,4
]}

Vale, Candida Gomes ^{[5
]}

Sousa-Guedes, Diana ^{[1
]}

Martinez-Freiria, Fernando ^{[3
]}

Real, Raimundo ^{[6
]}

Barbosa, A. Marcia ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] CICGE Ctr Invest Ciencias Geoespaciais, Alameda Monte Virgem, P-4430146 Vila Nova De Gaia, Portugal

[2] Inst Politecn Viana Castelo, Escola Super Agr, P-4990706 Ponte do Lima, Portugal

[3] Univ Porto, CIBIO Res Ctr Biodivers & Genet Resources, InBIO, Campus Vairao,Rua Padre Armando Quintas 7, P-4485661 Porto, Portugal

[4] Czech Acad Sci, Inst Vertebrate Biol, Brno 60365, Czech Republic

[5] Univ Porto, CIIMAR Interdisciplinary Ctr Marine & Environm R, Terminal Cruzeiros Porto Leixoes, Ave Gen Norton Matos S N, P-4450208 Matosinhos, Portugal

[6] Univ Malaga, Grp Biogeog Diversidad & Conservac, Dept Biol Anim, Fac Ciencias, Malaga 29071, Spain

来源：

ECOLOGICAL MODELLING | 2021年 / 456卷

关键词：

Species distribution models; Best practices; Model assumptions and limitations; Model preparation and parametrization; Model validation; Model performance; CLIMATE-CHANGE PREDICTIONS; PSEUDO-ABSENCE SELECTION; NEW-SOUTH-WALES; HABITAT-SUITABILITY; SAMPLE-SIZE; SPATIAL AUTOCORRELATION; GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTIONS; POSITIONAL UNCERTAINTY; IMPROVE PREDICTIONS; THRESHOLD CRITERIA;

D O I：

10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2021.109671

中图分类号：

Q14 [生态学（生物生态学）];

学科分类号：

071012 ; 0713 ;

摘要：

The use of correlative ecological niche models has highly increased in the last decade. Despite all literature and textbooks in this field, few practical guidelines exist on the correct application of these techniques. We present here a step-by-step guideline explaining best practices for calculating correlative ecological niche models considering their conceptual and statistical assumptions and limitations. We divided the modelling process into four stages: 1) data collection and preparation; 2) model calculation; 3) model evaluation and validation; 4) and model application. Based on ecological niche theory, we review the concepts of ecological niche and how they can be modelled; classes of correlative models; modelling software; selection of study area; data sources for species records and environmental variables; types of species records and their influence on correlative models; errors in species records; minimum number of species records and environmental variables; effects of prevalence, sampling design, biases, and collinearity between variables; model calculation; model projection to different scenarios in time and space; ensemble modelling; model validation; classification, discrimination and calibration metrics; calculation of null models; analysis of model results; and model thresholding. This guideline is expected to help potential users to obtain better results when using correlative ecological niche models.

引用

页数：19

共 314 条

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