Using a Validated Population Pharmacokinetic Model for Dosing Recommendations of Continuous Infusion Piperacillin for Critically Ill Adult Patients

Background and Objective Piperacillin is a broad-spectrum beta-lactam antibiotic commonly prescribed in intensive care units. Many piperacillin population pharmacokinetic models have been published, but few underwent an external evaluation. External evaluation is an important process to determine a model's capability of being generalized to other hospitals. We aimed to assess the predictive performance of these models with an external validation dataset. Methods Six models were evaluated with a dataset consisting of 30 critically ill patients (35 samples) receiving piperacillin by continuous infusion. Models were subject to prediction-based (bias and imprecision) and simulation-based evaluations. When a model had an acceptable evaluation, it was used for dosing simulations to evaluate the probability of target attainment. Results Bias and imprecision ranged from - 35.7 to 295% and from 22.7 to 295%, respectively. The models of Klastrup et al. and of Udy et al. were acceptable according to our criteria and were used for dosing simulations. Simulations showed that a loading dose of 4 g followed by a maintenance dose of 16 g/24 h of piperacillin infused continuously was necessary to remain above a pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic target set as a minimal inhibitory concentration of 16 mg/L in 90% of patients, for a median patient with a creatinine clearance of 76 mL/min. Conclusions Despite the considerable variation in the predictive performance of the models with the external validation dataset, this study was able to validate two of these models and led to the elaboration of a dosing nomogram for piperacillin by continuous infusion that can be used by clinicians in intensive care units.