Black box technology, usage-based insurance, and prediction of purchase behavior: Evidence from the auto insurance sector

Disruptive technologies are changing the car insurance sector, with behavioral and adaptive impacts for in-dividuals as well as organizations. An innovative factor in this industry is connected to telematics and concerns the installation of a small device called a 'black box', which is becoming more and more widespread, with consequent financial impacts on the insurance policy market. However, the psychological drivers that underpin consumers' intentions to purchase black box auto insurance are scarcely researched. To fill this gap, we used a mixed-methods sequential exploratory design to analyze a sample of 757 consumers. Our results, obtained through PLS-SEM, highlight that attitude, awareness, subjective norms, risk perception, and trust have a sig-nificant positive influence on consumers' intentions to purchase black box technology auto insurance, while the effect of perceived behavioral control is not supported. Furthermore, the blindfolding analysis underscores the predictive relevance of the model. Our results have important implications for auto insurance companies interested to better understand consumers' needs and motives in relation to the purchase of black box insurance.