Prioritizing Biosecurity Risks Using a Participatory Decision-Making Tool

被引：8

作者：

Hurley, Michael V. ^{[1
,2
]}

Lowell, Kim E. ^{[1
,2
,3
]}

Cook, David C. ^{[2
,4
,5
]}

Liu, Shuang ^{[2
,4
]}

Siddique, Abu-Baker ^{[2
,5
]}

Diggle, Art ^{[2
,5
]}

机构：

[1] Dept Primary Ind, Parkville, Vic 3052, Australia

[2] Cooperat Res Ctr Natl Plant Biosecur, Canberra, ACT, Australia

[3] Univ Melbourne, Cooperat Res Ctr Spatial Informat, Melbourne, Vic, Australia

[4] CSIRO Entomol, Canberra, ACT, Australia

[5] Australian Natl Univ, Fenner Sch Environm & Soc, Canberra, ACT, Australia

来源：

HUMAN AND ECOLOGICAL RISK ASSESSMENT | 2010年 / 16卷 / 06期

关键词：

bio-economic model; biosecurity; decision-making; risk; uncertainty; MULTICRITERIA EVALUATION; MANAGEMENT; ISSUES;

D O I：

10.1080/10807039.2010.526506

中图分类号：

X176 [生物多样性保护];

学科分类号：

090705 ;

摘要：

A decision framework called Deliberative Multi-Criteria Evaluation (DMCE) was developed and deployed to prioritize biosecurity risks using a variety of subjective and objective information. To aid stakeholders in the prioritization of Emergency Plant Pest (EPP) species risk, we presented them with outputs from a Stella-based bio-economic pest risk model, and probable ecological and socioeconomic impacts. The stakeholder participants weighted the consequence criteria they deemed to have the highest expected impact. The methodology featured an uncertain set of parameters, multiple iterations of criteria weighting along with real-time sensitivity analysis. Of the five criteria, economic cost was weighted the highest at 26% while landscape amenity was weighted the lowest at the 10-12% range. The increased understanding and support gained by stakeholders through the DMCE process provided a greater likelihood of the sanctioning of the policies concerned and progress toward desired outcomes.

引用

页码：1379 / 1394

页数：16

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