Development of a Methodology for Understanding the Potency of Risk Connectivity

被引:9
作者
Allan, Neil [1 ]
Yin, Yun [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Bath, Sch Management, Bath BA2 AY, Avon, England
关键词
Risk management; Decision making; Uncertainty; Systems; Management tools; MANAGEMENT;
D O I
10.1061/(ASCE)ME.1943-5479.0000036
中图分类号
T [工业技术];
学科分类号
08 ;
摘要
The Strategic Risk Register System (SRRS) is proposed by the writers as a practical methodology to enable the connectivity of risks to be elicited and evaluated so that the most potent risks in a system can be identified. The SRRS methodology builds on the impact x likelihood paradigm by introducing a connectivity matrix to modify traditional risk registers and uses graph theories to depict the relations between risks. Several techniques are employed to visualize and interpret the significance of the results. A case study is used to demonstrate how the SRRS works in practice. This paper builds on the 3-year research program called STRATrisk, commissioned by the Department for Trade and Industry (DTI) in the UK, which reported that the assessment of the interconnectivity of risks is necessary to understand key risks in complex systems. DOI: 10.1061/(ASCE)ME.1943-5479.0000036. (c) 2011 American Society of Civil Engineers.
引用
收藏
页码:75 / 79
页数:5
相关论文
共 32 条
[21]  
Pierce IN, 1998, CIVIL ENG, V68, P6
[22]  
Ren H., 1994, INT J PROJ MANAG, V12, P68, DOI DOI 10.1016/0263-7863(94)90012-4
[23]  
Saaty TL, 1980, The analytic hierarchy process, DOI [DOI 10.1201/9780429504419-2, 10.21236/ADA214804, DOI 10.21236/ADA214804]
[24]   Using cognitive mapping techniques to supplement UML and UP in information requirements determination [J].
Siau, Keng ;
Tan, Xin .
JOURNAL OF COMPUTER INFORMATION SYSTEMS, 2006, 46 :59-66
[25]  
Stewart M.G., 1997, Probabilistic Risk Assessment of Engineering Systems
[26]   Variability and uncertainty meet risk management and risk communication [J].
Thompson, KM .
RISK ANALYSIS, 2002, 22 (03) :647-654
[27]  
WALKER BR, 2005, 1 CHING BOOK CHANGES
[28]  
Ward S., 2003, INT J PROJ MANAG, V21, P97, DOI DOI 10.1016/S0263-7863(01)00080-1
[29]  
Williams T., 1994, INT J PROJ MANAG, V12, P17, DOI DOI 10.1016/0263-7863(94)90005-1
[30]  
Williams T.M., 1993, INT J PROJ MANAG, V11, P5, DOI DOI 10.1016/0263-7863(93)90003-6