Synergistic prognostication of left ventricular hypertrophy and three-dimensional mechanical dyssynchrony in heart failure

Aims In this study, we investigated the prognostic interplay of left ventricular hypertrophy and mechanical dyssynchrony (LVMD), both of which can be measured three-dimensionally by gated myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI), in patients with chronic systolic heart failure (HF). Methods and results In 829 consecutive HF patients with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction less than 50%, LVMD was evaluated as a standard deviation (phase SD) of regional onset of mechanical contraction phase angles. A phase histogram was created by Fourier phase analysis applied to regional time-activity curves obtained by gated MPI. Left ventricular mass index (LVMI) was measured by Corridor 4DM version 6.0. Patients were followed up with a primary endpoint of lethal cardiac events (CE) for a mean interval of 34 months. CE were documented in 223 (27%) of the HF patients. The CE group had a greater phase SD and a greater LVMI than those in the non-CE group. Patients in the CE group had a more advanced age, greater New York Heart Association (NYHA) functional class, left ventricular cavity size, and left atrial diameter or septal E/e' and lower kidney or cardiac function than did patients in the non-CE group. Phase SD > 37 and LVMI > 122.7 g/m(2) were identified as optimal cut-off values by receiver operating characteristic analyses for discrimination of the most increased risk HF subgroup from others (P < 0.0001). When classified into four patient subgroups using both cut-off values, HF patients with phase SD > 37 (LVMD) and LVMI > 122.7g/m(2) had the highest CE rate among the subgroups (P < 0.0001). Univariate analysis and subsequent multivariate analysis with a Cox proportional hazards model showed that phase SD and LVMI were significant independent predictors of CE with hazard ratios of 1.038 (confidence interval [CI], 1.024-1.051, P < 0.0001) and 1.005 (CI, 1.001-1.008, P = 0.0073), respectively, as well as conventional clinical parameters such as age, NYHA class, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), and BNP concentration. Patients with increased phase SD and LVMI had incrementally improved prognostic values of clinical parameters including age, NYHA functional class, eGFR, and BNP with increases in the global chi(2) value: 5.9 for age; 139.5 for age and NYHA; 157.9 for age, NYHA, and eGFR; 163.9 for age, NYHA, eGFR, and BNP; 183.4 for age, NYHA, eGFR, BNP, and phase SD; and 192.5 for age, NYHA, eGFR, BNP, phase SD, and LVMI. Conclusions Three-dimensionally assessed LVMD has independent prognostic values and can improve the risk stratification of chronic HF patients synergistically in combination with conventional clinical parameters.