Forecasting China's Train Express Transportation Volume by the Grey-Markov Chain Prediction Model

被引:0
作者
Zhang Fa [1 ]
Zhang Wensong [1 ]
机构
[1] Beijing Jiaotong Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100044, Peoples R China
来源
PROCEEDINGS OF THE SECOND INTERNATIONAL SYMPOSIUM - MANAGEMENT, INNOVATION AND DEVELOPMENT | 2015年
关键词
Train express transportation volume; Grey Model; Markov Chain; Grey-Markov Method;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
C93 [管理学];
学科分类号
12 ; 1201 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;
摘要
Carriage of goods by rail is a complex social and economic system which is abstracted as no physical factors prototype spatial to exhaust and the track with incomplete information, the grey system. Grey Model GM (1,1) and Markov Chain Prediction Method was combined to improved grey Markov chain, which is employed to future development of the China's Train express transportation volume. The prediction of the Train express transportation volume is more accurate, because of Markov chain method to modify the grey model prediction results.
引用
收藏
页码:345 / 350
页数:6
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