A Road-Aware Neural Network for Multi-step Vehicle Trajectory Prediction

被引:13
作者
Cui, Jingze [1 ]
Zhou, Xian [1 ]
Zhu, Yanmin [1 ]
Shen, Yanyan [1 ]
机构
[1] Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Dept Comp Sci & Engn, Shanghai, Peoples R China
来源
DATABASE SYSTEMS FOR ADVANCED APPLICATIONS, DASFAA 2018, PT I | 2018年 / 10827卷
关键词
Multi-step trajectory prediction; Road-aware features; LSTM; MODEL;
D O I
10.1007/978-3-319-91452-7_45
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
Multi-step vehicle trajectory prediction has been of great significance for location-based services, e.g., actionable advertising. Prior works focused on adopting pattern-matching techniques or HMM-based models, where the ability of accurate prediction is limited since patterns and features are mostly extracted from historical trajectories. However, these methods may become weak to multi-step trajectory prediction when new patterns appear or the previous trajectory is incomplete. In this paper, we propose a neural network model combining road-aware features to solve multi-step vehicle trajectory prediction task. We introduce a novel way of extracting road-aware features for vehicle trajectory, which consist of intra-road feature and inter-road feature extracted from road networks. The utilization of road-aware features helps to draw the latent patterns more accurately and enhances the prediction performances. Then we leverage LSTM units to build temporal dependencies on previous trajectory path and generate future trajectory. We conducted extensive experiments on two real-world datasets and demonstrated that our model achieved higher prediction accuracy compared with competitive trajectory prediction methods.
引用
收藏
页码:701 / 716
页数:16
相关论文
共 16 条
[1]  
Hendawi AM, 2015, PROC INT CONF DATA, P1215, DOI 10.1109/ICDE.2015.7113369
[2]  
Hochreiter S, 1997, NEURAL COMPUT, V9, P1735, DOI [10.1162/neco.1997.9.8.1735, 10.1007/978-3-642-24797-2, 10.1162/neco.1997.9.1.1]
[3]   Path prediction and predictive range querying in road network databases [J].
Jeung, Hoyoung ;
Yiu, Man Lung ;
Zhou, Xiaofang ;
Jensen, Christian S. .
VLDB JOURNAL, 2010, 19 (04) :585-602
[4]   A Hybrid Prediction Model for moving objects [J].
Jeung, Hoyoung ;
Liu, Qing ;
Shen, Heng Tao ;
Zhou, Xiaofang .
2008 IEEE 24TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON DATA ENGINEERING, VOLS 1-3, 2008, :70-+
[5]  
Mikolov T., 2013, ICLR, P3111
[6]  
Monreale A, 2009, KDD-09: 15TH ACM SIGKDD CONFERENCE ON KNOWLEDGE DISCOVERY AND DATA MINING, P637
[7]  
Morzy M, 2007, LECT NOTES ARTIF INT, V4571, P667
[8]  
Morzy M, 2006, LECT NOTES COMPUT SC, V4263, P583
[9]   DeepWalk: Online Learning of Social Representations [J].
Perozzi, Bryan ;
Al-Rfou, Rami ;
Skiena, Steven .
PROCEEDINGS OF THE 20TH ACM SIGKDD INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON KNOWLEDGE DISCOVERY AND DATA MINING (KDD'14), 2014, :701-710
[10]   TraPlan: An Effective Three-in-One Trajectory-Prediction Model in Transportation Networks [J].
Qiao, Shaojie ;
Han, Nan ;
Zhu, William ;
Gutierrez, Louis Alberto .
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON INTELLIGENT TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS, 2015, 16 (03) :1188-1198