Climate change patterns in precipitation over Spain using CORDEX projections for 2021-2050

被引:30
作者
Lorenzo, M. N. [1 ]
Alvarez, I [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Vigo, Environm Phys Lab EphysLab, CIM UVIGO, Edificio Campus Auga, Orense 32004, Spain
[2] Univ Aveiro, Dept Fis, CESAM, P-3810193 Aveiro, Portugal
关键词
Extreme precipitation indices; Warming scenarios; CORDEX; Spain; EXTREME PRECIPITATION; IBERIAN PENINSULA; DAILY TEMPERATURE; RECENT TRENDS; INDEXES; ENSEMBLE; EUROPE; FORECASTS; RAINFALL; CMIP5;
D O I
10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138024
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
This work presents an analysis of the climate change scenarios in some extreme precipitation indices over Spain using simulations from the EURO-CORDEX project. Change projections of precipitation are evaluated for the near future (2021-2050) relatively to a reference past climate (1971-2000). Projections of annual precipitation show a general decrease in almost the whole region except over the central area where positive changes are detected due to a significant increase in winter. For consecutive wet days, an annual decrease is also projected over the country attributable to a significant decrease mainly observed in spring and to a lesser extent in winter. On the other hand, consecutive dry days are projected to be higher overall as a result of significant increases in spring, summer and autumn. Positive changes are also projected for the maximum daily precipitation during winter and autumn. (C) 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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收藏
页数:24
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