Long-term memory in earthquakes and the distribution of interoccurrence times

被引:139
作者
Lennartz, S. [1 ]
Livina, V. N. [2 ]
Bunde, A. [1 ]
Havlin, S. [3 ,4 ]
机构
[1] Univ Giessen, Inst Theoret Phys 3, D-35392 Giessen, Germany
[2] Univ E Anglia, Sch Environm Sci, Norwich NR4 7TJ, Norfolk, England
[3] Bar Ilan Univ, Minerva Ctr, IL-52900 Ramat Gan, Israel
[4] Bar Ilan Univ, Dept Phys, IL-52900 Ramat Gan, Israel
关键词
D O I
10.1209/0295-5075/81/69001
中图分类号
O4 [物理学];
学科分类号
0702 ;
摘要
We study seismic records in regimes of stationary seismic activity in Northern and Southern California. Our analysis suggests that the earthquakes are long-term power law correlated with a correlation exponent. close to 0.4. We show explicitly that the long-term correlations can explain both the fluctuations of magnitudes and interoccurrence times ( between events above a certain magnitude M) and, without any fit parameter, the scaling form of the distribution function of the interoccurrence times in the seismic records, recently obtained by Corral ( Phys. Rev. Lett., 92 ( 2004) 108501). Copyright (c) EPLA, 2008
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页数:5
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