Qualitative heuristics for balancing the pros and cons

被引:21
作者
Bonnefon, Jean-Francois [1 ]
Dubois, Didier
Fargier, Helene
Leblois, Sylvie [1 ]
机构
[1] LTC CNRS, Toulouse, France
关键词
behavioral data; bipolar information; Cumulative Prospect Theory; decision heuristics; qualitative information; Take the Best;
D O I
10.1007/s11238-007-9050-6
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Balancing the pros and cons of two options is undoubtedly a very appealing decision procedure, but one that has received scarce scientific attention so far, either formally or empirically. We describe a formal framework for pros and cons decisions, where the arguments under consideration can be of varying importance, but whose importance cannot be precisely quantified. We then define eight heuristics for balancing these pros and cons, and compare the predictions of these to the choices made by 62 human participants on a selection of 33 situations. The Levelwise Tallying heuristic clearly emerges as a winner in this competition. Further refinements of this heuristic are considered in the discussion, as well as its relation to Take the Best and Cumulative Prospect Theory.
引用
收藏
页码:71 / 95
页数:25
相关论文
共 26 条
[1]  
Amgoud L, 2005, LECT NOTES COMPUT SC, V3571, P269
[2]  
[Anonymous], 1971, STAT DECISION FUNCTI
[3]   Bipolar possibility theory in preference modeling: Representation, fusion and optimal solutions [J].
Benferhat, Salem ;
Dubois, Didier ;
Kaci, Souhila ;
Prade, Henri .
INFORMATION FUSION, 2006, 7 (01) :135-150
[4]   Assessing the empirical validity of the "Take-The-Best' heuristic as a model of human probabilistic inference [J].
Bröder, A .
JOURNAL OF EXPERIMENTAL PSYCHOLOGY-LEARNING MEMORY AND COGNITION, 2000, 26 (05) :1332-1346
[5]   Take the best versus simultaneous feature matching:: Probabilistic inferences from memory and effects of representation format [J].
Bröder, A ;
Schiffer, S .
JOURNAL OF EXPERIMENTAL PSYCHOLOGY-GENERAL, 2003, 132 (02) :277-293
[6]   The affect system has parallel and integrative processing components: Form follows function [J].
Cacioppo, JT ;
Gardner, WL ;
Berntson, GG .
JOURNAL OF PERSONALITY AND SOCIAL PSYCHOLOGY, 1999, 76 (05) :839-855
[7]   RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN ATTITUDES AND EVALUATIVE SPACE - A CRITICAL-REVIEW, WITH EMPHASIS ON THE SEPARABILITY OF POSITIVE AND NEGATIVE SUBSTRATES [J].
CACIOPPO, JT ;
BERNTSON, GG .
PSYCHOLOGICAL BULLETIN, 1994, 115 (03) :401-423
[8]   LINEAR-MODELS IN DECISION-MAKING [J].
DAWES, RM ;
CORRIGAN, B .
PSYCHOLOGICAL BULLETIN, 1974, 81 (02) :95-106
[9]  
Dubois D, 2005, LECT NOTES COMPUT SC, V3571, P305
[10]   Possibilistic logic: a retrospective and prospective view [J].
Dubois, D ;
Prade, H .
FUZZY SETS AND SYSTEMS, 2004, 144 (01) :3-23