Future demographic change and its interactions with migration and climate change

被引：152

作者：

Hugo, Graeme ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Adelaide, Discipline Geog Environm & Populat, Adelaide, SA 5005, Australia

来源：

GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS | 2011年 / 21卷

关键词：

International migration; Climate change; Demographic effects; Demographic transition and migration;

D O I：

10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.09.008

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

This paper examines global demographic change as a driver of migration within the context of anticipated climate change. It begins by briefly considering some theoretical formulations which relate demographic change and migration. It then considers evolving global demographic trends and discusses some of their potential impacts upon migration. It is shown that there is a close spatial coincidence between demographic and climate change "hotspots" that will influence migration in complex ways. It then turns to the complex interaction between demographic change, environmental change and migration, both in the past and potential developments in the future. It concludes with a discussion of the potential impacts of future trends and their policy implications. (C) 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：S21 / S33

页数：13