Optimisation of Maintenance Policies Based on Right-Censored Failure Data Using a Semi-Markovian Approach

被引:6
作者
Sanchez-Herguedas, Antonio [1 ]
Mena-Nieto, Angel [2 ]
Rodrigo-Munoz, Francisco [3 ]
Villalba-Diez, Javier [4 ]
Ordieres-Mere, Joaquin [5 ]
机构
[1] Univ Seville, Sch Engn, Dept Ind Management, Camino Descubrimientos S-N, Seville 41092, Spain
[2] Univ Huelva, Sch Engn, Dept Elect & Thermal Engn Design & Projects, Campus El Carmen, Huelva 21819, Spain
[3] Univ Seville, Sch Engn, Dept Appl Math 2, Camino Descubrimientos S-N, Seville 41092, Spain
[4] Hsch Heilbronn, Fak Management & Vertrieb, Campus Schwabisch Hall, D-74523 Schwabisch Hall, Germany
[5] Univ Politecn Madrid, Escuela Tecn Super Ingn Ind ETSII, Madrid 28006, Spain
关键词
maintenance interval; maintenance model; semi-Markov process; right-censored data; finite horizon; maintenance cost; PREVENTIVE MAINTENANCE; WEIBULL DISTRIBUTION; RELIABILITY EVALUATION; OPTIMAL REPLACEMENT; MODEL; PARAMETER; SYSTEM; SENSITIVITY; LIKELIHOOD; REGRESSION;
D O I
10.3390/s22041432
中图分类号
O65 [分析化学];
学科分类号
070302 ; 081704 ;
摘要
This paper exposes the existing problems for optimal industrial preventive maintenance intervals when decisions are made with right-censored data obtained from a network of sensors or other sources. A methodology based on the use of the z transform and a semi-Markovian approach is presented to solve these problems and obtain a much more consistent mathematical solution. This methodology is applied to a real case study of the maintenance of large marine engines of vessels dedicated to coastal surveillance in Spain to illustrate its usefulness. It is shown that the use of right-censored failure data significantly decreases the value of the optimal preventive interval calculated by the model. In addition, that optimal preventive interval increases as we consider older failure data. In sum, applying the proposed methodology, the maintenance manager can modify the preventive maintenance interval, obtaining a noticeable economic improvement. The results obtained are relevant, regardless of the number of data considered, provided that data are available with a duration of at least 75% of the value of the preventive interval.
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页数:17
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