The value of feedback in forecasting competitions

被引：19

作者：

Athanasopoulos, George ^{[1
]}

Hyndman, Rob J. ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Monash Univ, Dept Econometr & Business Stat, Clayton, Vic 3800, Australia

来源：

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING | 2011年 / 27卷 / 03期

关键词：

Online competition; Revising forecasts; Public leaderboard; Tourism; TIME-SERIES;

D O I：

10.1016/j.ijforecast.2011.03.002

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

In this paper we challenge the traditional design used for forecasting competitions. We implement an online competition with a public leaderboard that provides instant feedback to competitors who are allowed to revise and resubmit forecasts. The results show that feedback significantly improves forecasting accuracy. (C) 2011 International Institute of Forecasters. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：845 / 849

页数：5

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