Quantification of flood risk mitigation benefits: A building-scale damage assessment through the RASOR platform

被引:51
作者
Arrighi, Chiara [1 ]
Rossi, Lauro [2 ]
Trasforini, Eva [2 ]
Rudari, Roberto [2 ]
Ferraris, Luca [2 ,3 ]
Brugioni, Marcello [4 ]
Franceschini, Serena [4 ]
Castelli, Fabio [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Florence, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Via S Marta 3, I-50139 Florence, Italy
[2] CIMA Res Fdn, Univ Campus, Savona, Italy
[3] Univ Genoa, DIBRIS, Via Magliotto 2, Savona, Italy
[4] Autorita Bacino Fiume Arno, Via Servi 15, Florence, Italy
关键词
Cost-benefit analysis; Exposure; Recovery cost; Retention basin; GIS; RIVER FLOODS; HAZARDS; COSTS; BASIN; MODEL;
D O I
10.1016/j.jenvman.2017.11.017
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Flood risk mitigation usually requires a significant investment of public resources and cost-effectiveness should be ensured. The assessment of the benefits of hydraulic works requires the quantification of (i) flood risk in absence of measures, (ii) risk in presence of mitigation works, (iii) investments to achieve acceptable residual risk. In this work a building-scale is adopted to estimate direct tangible flood losses to several building classes (e.g. residential, industrial, commercial, etc.) and respective contents, exploiting various sources of public open data in a GIS environment. The impact simulations for assigned flood hazard scenarios are computed through the RASOR platform which allows for an extensive characterization of the properties and their vulnerability through libraries of stage-damage curves. Recovery and replacement costs are estimated based on insurance data, market values and socio-economic proxies. The methodology is applied to the case study of Florence (Italy) where a system of retention basins upstream of the city is under construction to reduce flood risk. Current flood risk in the study area (70 km(2)) is about 170 Mio euros per year without accounting for people, infrastructures, cultural heritage and vehicles at risk. The monetary investment in the retention basins is paid off in about 5 years. However, the results show that although hydraulic works are cost-effective, a significant residual risk has to be managed and the achievement of the desired level of acceptable risk would require about 1 billion euros of investments. (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:92 / 104
页数:13
相关论文
共 44 条
  • [1] Modelling the socio-economic impact of river floods in Europe
    Alfieri, Lorenzo
    Feyen, Luc
    Salamon, Peter
    Thielen, Jutta
    Bianchi, Alessandra
    Dottori, Francesco
    Burek, Peter
    [J]. NATURAL HAZARDS AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES, 2016, 16 (06) : 1401 - 1411
  • [2] [Anonymous], J FINANC RISK MANAG
  • [3] [Anonymous], AN OPEN SOURCE GIS B
  • [4] [Anonymous], PIAN GEST RISCHIO 2
  • [5] [Anonymous], NAT HAZARDS EARTH SY
  • [6] [Anonymous], J FINANC RISK MANAG
  • [7] [Anonymous], 2014, REG ENVIRON CHANGE, DOI DOI 10.1007/s10113-013-0420-z
  • [8] [Anonymous], 2015, GEOPH RES ABSTR
  • [9] [Anonymous], TECHNICAL REPORT
  • [10] [Anonymous], TECHNICAL REPORT