Analyst revenue forecast reporting and the quality of revenues and expenses

被引:20
作者
Bilinski, Pawel [1 ]
Eames, Michael [2 ]
机构
[1] City Univ London, Cass Business Sch, London, England
[2] Santa Clara Univ, Santa Clara, CA 95053 USA
关键词
earnings and revenue forecast accuracy; joint earnings and revenue forecast issues; price reaction; quality of earnings components; INCREMENTAL INFORMATION-CONTENT; VALUE-RELEVANCE LITERATURE; EARNINGS QUALITY; CAPITAL-MARKETS; CAREER CONCERNS; DETERMINANTS; ACCRUALS; DISCLOSURES; PERFORMANCE; COMPLEXITY;
D O I
10.1111/jbfa.12355
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
We decompose earnings quality into revenue and expense quality and examine their associations with analyst propensity to supplement their earnings forecasts with revenue forecasts. Analysts report more revenue forecasts to I/B/E/S when expense quality is low to compensate for the low accuracy of their earnings estimates, which has a positive association with expense quality. Expense quality is unassociated with revenue forecast accuracy, thus revenue forecasts become increasingly useful for valuing firms when expense quality is low. Analysts report fewer revenue forecasts when revenue quality is low because both earnings and revenue forecast accuracy decline as revenue quality deteriorates. To control for endogeneity, we use firm-fixed effects to control for unobserved time-invariant heterogeneity across firms, instrumental variables regressions and regression in changes.
引用
收藏
页码:136 / 158
页数:23
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