Are high-growth firms one-hit wonders? Evidence from Sweden

被引:120
作者
Daunfeldt, Sven-Olov [1 ,2 ]
Halvarsson, Daniel [3 ,4 ]
机构
[1] HUI Res, S-10329 Stockholm, Sweden
[2] Dalarna Univ, Dept Econ, S-78188 Borlange, Sweden
[3] Royal Inst Technol, Div Econ, S-10044 Stockholm, Sweden
[4] Ratio Inst, S-10364 Stockholm, Sweden
关键词
Gazelles; High-growth firms; Growth persistence; Autocorrelation; Transition probabilities; TESTING GIBRATS LAW; PANEL-DATA; SIZE; DYNAMICS; SURVIVAL; PERSISTENCE; GAZELLES; MODELS; CLOSER;
D O I
10.1007/s11187-014-9599-8
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Most firms do not grow, and a small number of high-growth firms seem to create most new jobs. These firms have therefore received increasing attention among policymakers. The question is whether high-growth tends to persist? We investigate this question using firm-level data from Sweden during 1997-2008. We find that high-growth firms had declining growth rates in the previous 3-year period, and their probability of repeating high growth rates was very low. Thus, these are essentially "one-hit wonders," and it is doubtful whether policymakers can improve economic outcomes by targeting them.
引用
收藏
页码:361 / 383
页数:23
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