Health Care Professionals Underestimate the Mean Life Expectancy of Older People

被引:10
作者
Wirth, R. [1 ,2 ]
Sieber, C. C. [2 ,3 ]
机构
[1] St Marien Hosp Borken, Dept Internal Med & Geriatr, DE-46325 Borken, Germany
[2] Univ Erlangen Nurnberg, Chair Geriatr Med, Erlangen, Germany
[3] Nuremberg Hosp, Dept Internal Med 2, Nurnberg, Germany
关键词
Decision-making; Life expectancy; Aged; Aged 80 and over; Geriatrics; Elderly; CORONARY-HEART-DISEASE; CARDIOVASCULAR EVENTS; MYOCARDIAL-INFARCTION; CHOLESTEROL LEVELS; PRAVASTATIN; TRIAL; SIMVASTATIN; SURVIVAL; STATINS; CANCER;
D O I
10.1159/000327656
中图分类号
R592 [老年病学]; C [社会科学总论];
学科分类号
03 ; 0303 ; 100203 ;
摘要
Background: The estimated life expectancy of older persons is an important component of medical decision-making. To date, no data are available on the accuracy of health care professionals in estimating the remaining life expectancy of older subjects. Methods: A survey estimating the mean remaining life expectancy of Germans of both sexes at the ages of 0, 70, 80 and 90 years was performed from September to November 2010. Results: Two hundred and six health care professionals underestimated the mean remaining life expectancy of older persons by 10%, on average, and with great variance (SD = 34%). Medical doctors, especially those not specialized in geriatrics, estimated worst. Conclusions: Underestimation of the remaining life expectancy of older people is prevalent in health care professionals and may lead to patients being managed inappropriately. This underscores the need for further studies and better training on this issue in health care education. Copyright (C) 2011 S. Karger AG, Basel
引用
收藏
页码:56 / 59
页数:4
相关论文
共 15 条
  • [1] BEHOUNEK BD, 1993, AM J CARDIOL, V72, P1031
  • [2] How accurate are doctors, nurses and medical students at predicting life expectancy?
    Clarke, Michael G.
    Ewings, P.
    Hanna, T.
    Dunn, L.
    Girling, T.
    Widdison, A. L.
    [J]. EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF INTERNAL MEDICINE, 2009, 20 (06) : 640 - 644
  • [3] How Accurate Are Physicians in the Prediction of Patient Survival in Advanced Lung Cancer?
    Clement-Duchene, Christelle
    Carnin, Charlotte
    Guillemin, Francis
    Martinet, Yves
    [J]. ONCOLOGIST, 2010, 15 (07) : 782 - 789
  • [4] Collins R, 2002, LANCET, V360, P7, DOI 10.1016/S0140-6736(02)09327-3
  • [5] Key factors associated with the under-prescription of statins in elderly coronary heart disease patients: Results from the ELIAGE and ELICOEUR surveys
    Cournot, Maxime
    Cambou, Jean-Pierre
    Quentzel, Steven
    Danchin, Nicolas
    [J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CARDIOLOGY, 2006, 111 (01) : 12 - 18
  • [6] Benefits of pravastatin on cardiovascular events and mortality in older patients with coronary heart disease are equal to or exceed those seen in younger patients: Results from the LIPID trial
    Hunt, D
    Young, P
    Simes, J
    Hague, W
    Mann, S
    Owensby, D
    Lane, G
    Tonkin, A
    [J]. ANNALS OF INTERNAL MEDICINE, 2001, 134 (10) : 931 - 940
  • [7] Lewis Sandra J, 2004, Am J Geriatr Cardiol, V13, P10
  • [8] Effect of pravastatin on cardiovascular events in older patients with myocardial infarction and cholesterol levels in the average range - Results of the cholesterol and recurrent events (CARE) trial
    Lewis, SJ
    Moye, LA
    Sacks, FM
    Johnstone, DE
    Timmis, G
    Mitchell, J
    Limacher, M
    Kell, S
    Glasser, SP
    Grant, J
    Davis, BR
    Pfeffer, MA
    Braunwald, E
    [J]. ANNALS OF INTERNAL MEDICINE, 1998, 129 (09) : 681 - +
  • [9] Miettinen TA, 1997, CIRCULATION, V96, P4211
  • [10] Analysis of efficacy and safety in patients aged 65-75 years at randomization - Collaborative Atorvastatin Diabetes Study (CARDS)
    Neil, H. Andrew W.
    DeMicco, David A.
    Luo, Don
    Betteridge, D. John
    Colhoun, Helen M.
    Durrington, Paul N.
    Livingstone, Shona J.
    Fuller, John H.
    Hitman, Graham A.
    [J]. DIABETES CARE, 2006, 29 (11) : 2378 - 2384