Predictors of Renal Function Decline in Chinese Patients with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus and in a Subgroup of Normoalbuminuria: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Background: Risk factors related to renal function decline in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) remain uncertain. This study aimed to investigate risk factors in relation to renal function decline in patients with T2DM and in a subgroup of patients with normoalbuminuria. Methods: This study was a retrospective cohort study, which included 451 patients with T2DM aged 6314 years admitted to a tertiary hospital in Beijing, China, between April and December 2010 and followed up for 6-60 months. Endpoint was renal function decline, defined as estimated glomerular filtration rate less than 60mL/min 1.73m(2) or at least twofold increase of serum creatinine. Cox proportional hazards analysis was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for candidate risk factors of renal function decline. Results: After a median follow-up of 3.3 years, 94 (20.8%) patients developed renal function decline. Increased age (HR, 1.045; 95% CI, 1.020-1.070), albuminuria (HR, 1.956; 95%CI, 1.271-3.011), mild renal dysfunction (HR, 4.521; 95%CI, 2.734-7.476), hyperfiltration (HR, 3.897; 95%CI, 1.572-9.663), and increased hemoglobin A1c (HR, 1.128; 95%CI, 1.020-1.249) were identified as major risk factors. Among a subgroup of 344 patients with normoalbuminuria at baseline, 53 (15.4%) patients developed renal function decline. Increased age (HR, 1.089; 95%CI, 1.050-1.129), mild renal dysfunction (HR, 4.667; 95%CI, 2.391-9.107), hyperfiltration (HR, 5.677; 95%CI, 1.544-20.872), smoking (HR, 2.886; 95%CI, 1.370-6.082), higher pulse pressure (HR, 1.022; 95%CI, 1.004-1.040), and increased fasting glucose (HR, 1.104; 95%CI, 1.020-1.194) were major risk factors. Conclusions: Risk factors of diabetic renal impairment in T2DM should be screened and evaluated at an early stage of diabetes. Albuminuria, mild renal dysfunction, hyperfiltration, increased blood glucose, increased pulse pressure, and smoking were all predictors for diabetic renal impairment and interventions that focus on these risk factors may reduce further decline in renal function.