ON THE ESTIMATION OF OPERATIONS AND MAINTENANCE COSTS FOR DEFENSE SYSTEMS

被引：0

作者：

Martin, Jay D. ^{[1
]}

Finke, Daniel A. ^{[1
]}

Ligetti, Christopher B. ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Penn State Univ, Appl Res Lab, State Coll, PA 16804 USA

来源：

PROCEEDINGS OF THE 2011 WINTER SIMULATION CONFERENCE (WSC) | 2011年

关键词：

D O I：

暂无

中图分类号：

TP [自动化技术、计算机技术];

学科分类号：

0812 ;

摘要：

The estimation of operations and maintenance (O&M) costs for weapon systems has been termed 'infeasible' due to: 1) a lack of detailed prior (O&M) costs, 2) a large amount of uncertainty in the operational tempo for the system, and 3) uncertainty in the predicted reliability of system components. This research proposes the creation of a flexible discrete event simulation model to estimate O&M costs by predicting events that occur during a system's life cycle. Such a model takes as inputs a given concept of operations, maintenance strategy, and system reliabilities to determine lifecycle events such as: consumables used and maintenance operations performed on the entire system throughout its life cycle. The uncertain cost of each event can be used to estimate a distribution of total O&M costs. The results can finally be analyzed to determine the attribution of the uncertainty of those costs to all of the different possible sources.

引用

页码：2478 / 2489

页数：12