Multi-step traffic flow prediction method based on the Conv1D+LSTM

被引:4
作者
Jiao, Lele [1 ]
Zheng, Wen [1 ,2 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Taiyuan Univ Technol, Coll Data Sci, Inst Publ Safety & Big Data, Taiyuan 030600, Peoples R China
[2] Ningbo Univ, Key Lab Impact & Safety Engn, Minist Educ, Ningbo 315211, Peoples R China
[3] Ctr Hlth Big Data, Changzhi Med Coll, Changzhi, Peoples R China
来源
2020 EIGHTH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON ADVANCED CLOUD AND BIG DATA (CBD 2020) | 2020年
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Conv1D; LSTM; Multi-step prediction; External factors; Traffic flow;
D O I
10.1109/CBD51900.2020.00029
中图分类号
TP [自动化技术、计算机技术];
学科分类号
0812 ;
摘要
In view of the present traffic flow prediction model only takes into consideration the time series of traffic flow, and make one-step prediction rather than multi-step prediction, while ignoring the influence of external factors (actual factors) on traffic flow, this paper designed a multi-step traffic flow prediction model, which combines one-dimensional convolution (Conv1D) and Long Short-Term Memory Network (LSTM). Considering with external factors such as weather, time information and holidays, this model uses Conv1D to model the time feature, period feature and local correlation feature of traffic flow, and makes multi-step prediction through LSTM. The experimental results show that the prediction accuracy of Conv1D+LSTM model is obviously higher than baseline methods, which verifies the validity of multi-step prediction of traffic flow considering external factors.
引用
收藏
页码:113 / 118
页数:6
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