Insights from unifying modern approximations to infections on networks

被引:140
作者
House, Thomas [1 ]
Keeling, Matt J. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Warwick, Dept Biol Sci, Math Inst, Coventry CV4 7AL, W Midlands, England
基金
英国医学研究理事会; 英国工程与自然科学研究理事会;
关键词
epidemic; network; transmission; pairwise; simulation; infection; TRANSMISSION; OUTBREAKS; DYNAMICS; DISEASES; SPREAD;
D O I
10.1098/rsif.2010.0179
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Networks are increasingly central to modern science owing to their ability to conceptualize multiple interacting components of a complex system. As a specific example of this, understanding the implications of contact network structure for the transmission of infectious diseases remains a key issue in epidemiology. Three broad approaches to this problem exist: explicit simulation; derivation of exact results for special networks; and dynamical approximations. This paper focuses on the last of these approaches, and makes two main contributions. Firstly, formal mathematical links are demonstrated between several prima facie unrelated dynamical approximations. And secondly, these links are used to derive two novel dynamical models for network epidemiology, which are compared against explicit stochastic simulation. The success of these new models provides improved understanding about the interaction of network structure and transmission dynamics.
引用
收藏
页码:67 / 73
页数:7
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