Fluctuations of floods of the River Morava (Czech Republic) in the 1691-2009 period: interactions of natural and anthropogenic factors

被引:46
作者
Brazdil, R. [1 ]
Reznickova, L. [1 ]
Valasek, H. [2 ]
Havlicek, M. [3 ]
Dobrovolny, P. [1 ]
Soukalova, E. [4 ]
Rehanek, T. [5 ]
Skokanova, H. [3 ]
机构
[1] Masaryk Univ, Inst Geog, CS-61137 Brno, Czech Republic
[2] Moravian Land Arch, Brno 62500, Czech Republic
[3] Silva Tarouca Res Inst Landscape & Ornamental Gar, Brno 60200, Czech Republic
[4] Czech Hydrometeorol Inst, Brno 61667, Czech Republic
[5] Czech Hydrometeorol Inst, Ostrava 70800, Czech Republic
来源
HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES | 2011年 / 56卷 / 03期
关键词
flood; water stage; discharge; documentary data; land use; climatic change; River Morava; INFORMATION; FREQUENCY; HISTORY; EUROPE; TRENDS; RISK;
D O I
10.1080/02626667.2011.564175
中图分类号
TV21 [水资源调查与水利规划];
学科分类号
081501 ;
摘要
Floods from the middle part of the River Morava (eastern Czech Republic) are considered over the course of the past three centuries, the study being based on data derived from documentary evidence (1691-1880), measured peak water stages, Hk (1881-1920) and peak discharges, Qk (1916-2009), evaluated with respect to their N-year return period (HN and QN). Changes in land use and water management (water reservoirs, channel modifications) are discussed, as are factors influencing runoff conditions in the Morava catchment. Decadal synthesis of flood series identifies the highest flood activity in the decades of 1911-1920 and 1961-1970 (11 floods each), 1831-1840, 1891-1900, 1901-1910 and 1931-1940 (10 floods each). Uncertainty in this series is related to some incompleteness of documentary data in the pre-1881 period. Very low flood frequency occurred in the 1990s-2000s, although the most disastrous floods were recorded in this particular period (July 1997 at Q100 and March/April 2006 at Q20-Q50). Changes in flood frequency correspond partly to long-term changes in temperature and precipitation patterns. Citation Brazdil, R., Reznickova, L., Valasek, H., Havlicek, M., Dobrovolny, P., Soukalova, E., Rehanek, T. Skokanova, H. (2011) Fluctuations of floods of the River Morava (Czech Republic) in the 1691-2009 period: interactions of natural and anthropogenic factors. Hydrol. Sci. J. 56(3), 468-485.
引用
收藏
页码:468 / 485
页数:18
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