Short-Term Residential Load Forecasting Using 2-Step SARIMAX

被引:7
作者
Kim, Taegon [1 ]
Jang, Minseok [1 ]
Jeong, Hyun Cheol [1 ]
Joo, Sung-Kwan [1 ]
机构
[1] Korea Univ, Sch Elect Engn, Seoul 02841, South Korea
基金
新加坡国家研究基金会;
关键词
Residential load; SARIMAX; Forecasting; Time series; Clustering;
D O I
10.1007/s42835-021-00917-z
中图分类号
TM [电工技术]; TN [电子技术、通信技术];
学科分类号
0808 ; 0809 ;
摘要
In contrast to city-level and larger aggregate-level load forecasting, load forecasting for residential customers is a much more challenging problem because residential loads are much more volatile. In order to forecast the residential load at one-hour interval 24-h loads the day before, a 2-Step SARIMAX method for residential load forecasting is proposed in this study. The forecasting performance of the proposed method is compared with the existing forecasting methods including SARIMA.
引用
收藏
页码:751 / 758
页数:8
相关论文
共 50 条
[41]   Online SARIMA applied for short-term electricity load forecasting [J].
Nguyen Thi Ngoc Anh ;
Nguyen Nhat Anh ;
Tran Ngoc Thang ;
Vijender Kumar Solanki ;
Rubén González Crespo ;
Nguyen Quang Dat .
Applied Intelligence, 2024, 54 :1003-1019
[42]   A New Hybrid Model for Short-Term Electricity Load Forecasting [J].
Haq, Md Rashedul ;
Ni, Zhen .
IEEE ACCESS, 2019, 7 :125413-125423
[43]   Fusion Forecasting Algorithm for Short-Term Load in Power System [J].
Yu, Tao ;
Wang, Ye ;
Zhao, Yuchong ;
Luo, Gang ;
Yue, Shihong .
ENERGIES, 2024, 17 (20)
[44]   Short-Term Load Forecasting for Spanish Insular Electric Systems [J].
Caro, Eduardo ;
Juan, Jesus .
ENERGIES, 2020, 13 (14)
[45]   Short-Term Electrical Load Forecasting With Multidimensional Feature Extraction [J].
Kim, Nakyoung ;
Park, Hyunseo ;
Lee, Joohyung ;
Choi, Jun Kyun .
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON SMART GRID, 2022, 13 (04) :2999-3013
[46]   Local regression-based short-term load forecasting [J].
Zivanovic, R .
JOURNAL OF INTELLIGENT & ROBOTIC SYSTEMS, 2001, 31 (1-3) :115-127
[47]   Short-term load forecasting: a power-regression approach [J].
De Nicolao, G. ;
Pozzi, M. ;
Soda, E. ;
Stori, M. .
2014 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON PROBABILISTIC METHODS APPLIED TO POWER SYSTEMS (PMAPS), 2014,
[48]   An integrated federated learning algorithm for short-term load forecasting [J].
Yang, Yang ;
Wang, Zijin ;
Zhao, Shangrui ;
Wuc, Jinran .
ELECTRIC POWER SYSTEMS RESEARCH, 2023, 214
[49]   Short-Term Load Forecasting Based on Improved TCN and DenseNet [J].
Liu, Mingping ;
Qin, Hao ;
Cao, Ran ;
Deng, Suhui .
IEEE ACCESS, 2022, 10 :115945-115957
[50]   New robust method applied to short-term load forecasting [J].
Chakhchoukh, Yacine ;
Panciatici, Patrick ;
Mili, Lamine .
2009 IEEE BUCHAREST POWERTECH, VOLS 1-5, 2009, :473-+