Comment on "A semi-empirical approach to projecting future sea-level rise"

被引：30

作者：

Holgate, Simon

Jevrejeva, Svetlana

Woodworth, Philip

Brewer, Simon

机构：

[1] Proudman Oceanog Lab, Permanent Serv Mean Sea Level, Liverpool L3 5DA, Merseyside, England

[2] Irstea, F-13182 Aix En Provence, France

来源：

SCIENCE | 2007年 / 317卷 / 5846期

关键词：

D O I：

10.1126/science.1140942

中图分类号：

O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];

学科分类号：

07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;

摘要：

Rahmstorf (Reports, 19 January 2007, p. 368) used the observed relation between rates of change of global surface temperature and sea level to predict future sea-level rise. We revisit the application of the statistical methods used and show that estimation of the regression coefficient is not robust. Methods commonly used within econometrics may be more appropriate for the problem of projected sea-level rise.

引用

页数：2

共 8 条

[1] Church JA, 2001, CLIMATE CHANGE 2001: THE SCIENTIFIC BASIS, P639
[2] A 20th century acceleration in global sea-level rise
Church, JA
White, NJ
[J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2006, 33 (01)
[3] Global surface air temperature in 1995: Return to pre-Pinatubo level
Hansen, J
Ruedy, R
Sato, M
Reynolds, R
[J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 1996, 23 (13) : 1665 - 1668
[4] On the decadal rates of sea level change during the twentieth century
Holgate, S. J.
[J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2007, 34 (01)
[5] Moore J.C., 2005, EOS T AM GEOPHYS UN, V86, P226, DOI DOI 10.1029/2005EO240003
[6] A semi-empirical approach to projecting future sea-level rise
Rahmstorf, Stefan
[J]. SCIENCE, 2007, 315 (5810) : 368 - 370
[7] Reynolds RW, 2002, J CLIMATE, V15, P1609, DOI 10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<1609:AIISAS>2.0.CO
[8] 2

← 1 →