The aim of this study is to assess the sensitivity of convective precipitation modelled by the regional climate model MAR (Modele Atmospherique Regional) over 1987-2017 to four newly implemented convective schemes: the Bechtold scheme coming from the MESO-NH regional model and the Betts-Miller-Janji, Kain-Fritsch and modified Tiedtke schemes coming from the WRF regional model. MAR version 3.9 is used here at a resolution of 10 km over a domain covering Belgium using the ERA-Interim reanalysis as forcing. The simulated precipitation is compared against SYNOP and E-OBS gridded precipitation data. Trends in total and convective precipitation over 1987-2017 are discussed. None of the MAR experiments compares better with observations than the others and they all show the same trends in (extreme) precipitation. Over the period 1987-2017, MAR suggests a significant increase in the mean annual precipitation amount over the North Sea but a significant decrease over High Belgium.
机构:
Chinese Acad Sci, Climate Change Res Ctr, Inst Atmospher Phys, Beijing, Peoples R China
Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Earth & Planetary Sci, Beijing, Peoples R ChinaChinese Acad Sci, Climate Change Res Ctr, Inst Atmospher Phys, Beijing, Peoples R China
Wang Zhengqi
Gao Xuejie
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Chinese Acad Sci, Climate Change Res Ctr, Inst Atmospher Phys, Beijing, Peoples R China
Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Earth & Planetary Sci, Beijing, Peoples R ChinaChinese Acad Sci, Climate Change Res Ctr, Inst Atmospher Phys, Beijing, Peoples R China
Gao Xuejie
Han Zhenyu
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China Meteorol Adm, Natl Climate Ctr, Beijing, Peoples R ChinaChinese Acad Sci, Climate Change Res Ctr, Inst Atmospher Phys, Beijing, Peoples R China
Han Zhenyu
Wu Jia
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China Meteorol Adm, Natl Climate Ctr, Beijing, Peoples R ChinaChinese Acad Sci, Climate Change Res Ctr, Inst Atmospher Phys, Beijing, Peoples R China
Wu Jia
Xu Ying
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China Meteorol Adm, Natl Climate Ctr, Beijing, Peoples R ChinaChinese Acad Sci, Climate Change Res Ctr, Inst Atmospher Phys, Beijing, Peoples R China
Xu Ying
Juneng Liew
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Univ Kebangsaan Malaysia, Fac Sci & Technol, Ukm Bangi, MalaysiaChinese Acad Sci, Climate Change Res Ctr, Inst Atmospher Phys, Beijing, Peoples R China
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Univ Tokyo, Inst Ind Sci, Tokyo, JapanUniv Tokyo, Inst Ind Sci, Tokyo, Japan
He, Xiaogang
Kim, Hyungjun
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Univ Tokyo, Inst Ind Sci, Tokyo, JapanUniv Tokyo, Inst Ind Sci, Tokyo, Japan
Kim, Hyungjun
Kirstetter, Pierre-Emmanuel
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Univ Oklahoma, Adv Radar Res Ctr, Norman, OK 73019 USA
NOAA, Natl Severe Storms Lab, Norman, OK 73069 USA
Natl Weather Ctr, Norman, OK USAUniv Tokyo, Inst Ind Sci, Tokyo, Japan
Kirstetter, Pierre-Emmanuel
Yoshimura, Kei
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Univ Tokyo, Atmosphere & Ocean Res Inst, Kashiwa, Chiba, JapanUniv Tokyo, Inst Ind Sci, Tokyo, Japan
Yoshimura, Kei
Chang, Eun-Chul
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Kongju Natl Univ, Dept Atmospher Sci, Gongju, South KoreaUniv Tokyo, Inst Ind Sci, Tokyo, Japan
Chang, Eun-Chul
Ferguson, Craig R.
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SUNY Albany, Atmospher Sci Res Ctr, Albany, NY 12222 USAUniv Tokyo, Inst Ind Sci, Tokyo, Japan
Ferguson, Craig R.
Erlingis, Jessica M.
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Univ Oklahoma, Sch Meteorol, Norman, OK 73019 USAUniv Tokyo, Inst Ind Sci, Tokyo, Japan
Erlingis, Jessica M.
Hong, Yang
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Univ Oklahoma, Adv Radar Res Ctr, Norman, OK 73019 USA
Natl Weather Ctr, Norman, OK USA
Univ Oklahoma, Sch Civil Engn & Environm Sci, Norman, OK 73019 USAUniv Tokyo, Inst Ind Sci, Tokyo, Japan
Hong, Yang
Oki, Taikan
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Univ Tokyo, Inst Ind Sci, Tokyo, JapanUniv Tokyo, Inst Ind Sci, Tokyo, Japan
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Japan Meteorol Res Business Support Ctr, Off Global Environm & Climate Res Promot, Tshukuba, JapanJapan Meteorol Res Business Support Ctr, Off Global Environm & Climate Res Promot, Tshukuba, Japan
Watanabe, Shun-ichi, I
Murata, Akihiko
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Meteorol Res Inst, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, JapanJapan Meteorol Res Business Support Ctr, Off Global Environm & Climate Res Promot, Tshukuba, Japan
Murata, Akihiko
Sasaki, Hidetaka
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Meteorol Res Inst, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, JapanJapan Meteorol Res Business Support Ctr, Off Global Environm & Climate Res Promot, Tshukuba, Japan
Sasaki, Hidetaka
Kawase, Hi Ald
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Meteorol Res Inst, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, JapanJapan Meteorol Res Business Support Ctr, Off Global Environm & Climate Res Promot, Tshukuba, Japan
Kawase, Hi Ald
Nosaka, Masaya
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Meteorol Res Inst, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, JapanJapan Meteorol Res Business Support Ctr, Off Global Environm & Climate Res Promot, Tshukuba, Japan
机构:
European Commiss, Joint Res Ctr, Sci Dev Unit, Ispra, ItalyUniv Leeds, Sch Earth & Environm, Natl Ctr Atmospher Sci, Leeds LS2 9JT, W Yorkshire, England
Thielen-del Pozo, Jutta
Tye, Mari R.
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Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, Capac Ctr Climate & Weather Extremes, Mesoscale & Microscale Meteorol Lab, POB 3000, Boulder, CO 80307 USAUniv Leeds, Sch Earth & Environm, Natl Ctr Atmospher Sci, Leeds LS2 9JT, W Yorkshire, England
Tye, Mari R.
Warner, James L.
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Univ Leeds, Sch Earth & Environm, Natl Ctr Atmospher Sci, Leeds LS2 9JT, W Yorkshire, England
Univ Exeter, Dept Math, Exeter, Devon, EnglandUniv Leeds, Sch Earth & Environm, Natl Ctr Atmospher Sci, Leeds LS2 9JT, W Yorkshire, England