Update and review of control options for Campylobacter in broilers at primary production

被引:99
作者
Koutsoumanis, Konstantinos
Allende, Ana
Alvarez-Ordonez, Avelino
Bolton, Declan
Bover-Cid, Sara
Davies, Robert
De Cesare, Alessandra
Herman, Lieve
Hilbert, Friederike
Lindqvist, Roland
Nauta, Maarten
Peixe, Luisa
Ru, Giuseppe
Simmons, Marion
Skandamis, Panagiotis
Suffredini, Elisabetta
Alter, Thomas
Crotta, Matteo
Ellis-Iversen, Johanne
Hempen, Michaela
Messens, Winy
Chemaly, Marianne
机构
关键词
Campylobacter; Control; Broiler; primary production; biosecurity; population-attributable fraction; modelling; QUANTITATIVE RISK-ASSESSMENT; JEJUNI COLONIZATION; CROSS-CONTAMINATION; SPP; COLONIZATION; DRINKING-WATER; CHICKEN FLOCKS; MICROBIOLOGICAL CRITERIA; ESCHERICHIA-COLI; REARING PERIOD; FEED ADDITIVES;
D O I
10.2903/j.efsa.2020.6090
中图分类号
TS2 [食品工业];
学科分类号
0832 ;
摘要
The 2011 EFSA opinion on Campylobacter was updated using more recent scientific data. The relative risk reduction in EU human campylobacteriosis attributable to broiler meat was estimated for on-farm control options using Population Attributable Fractions (PAF) for interventions that reduce Campylobacter flock prevalence, updating the modelling approach for interventions that reduce caecal concentrations and reviewing scientific literature. According to the PAF analyses calculated for six control options, the mean relative risk reductions that could be achieved by adoption of each of these six control options individually are estimated to be substantial but the width of the confidence intervals of all control options indicates a high degree of uncertainty in the specific risk reduction potentials. The updated model resulted in lower estimates of impact than the model used in the previous opinion. A 3-log(10) reduction in broiler caecal concentrations was estimated to reduce the relative EU risk of human campylobacteriosis attributable to broiler meat by 58% compared to an estimate larger than 90% in the previous opinion. Expert Knowledge Elicitation was used to rank control options, for weighting and integrating different evidence streams and assess uncertainties. Medians of the relative risk reductions of selected control options had largely overlapping probability intervals, so the rank order was uncertain: vaccination 27% (90% probability interval (PI) 4-74%); feed and water additives 24% (90% PI 4-60%); discontinued thinning 18% (90% PI 5-65%); employing few and well-trained staff 16% (90% PI 5-45%); avoiding drinkers that allow standing water 15% (90% PI 4-53%); addition of disinfectants to drinking water 14% (90% PI 3-36%); hygienic anterooms 12% (90% PI 3-50%); designated tools per broiler house 7% (90% PI 1-18%). It is not possible to quantify the effects of combined control activities because the evidence-derived estimates are inter-dependent and there is a high level of uncertainty associated with each. (c) 2020 European Food Safety Authority. EFSA Journal published by John Wiley and Sons Ltd on behalf of European Food Safety Authority.
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页码:1 / 89
页数:89
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