Assessment of climate change and associated impact on selected sectors in Poland

被引：65

作者：

Kundzewicz, Zbigniew W. ^{[1
,4
]}

Piniewski, Mikolaj ^{[3
,4
]}

Mezghani, Abdelkader ^{[2
]}

Okruszko, Tomasz ^{[3
]}

Pinskwar, Iwona ^{[1
]}

Kardel, Ignacy ^{[3
]}

Hov, Oystein ^{[2
]}

Szczesniak, Mateusz ^{[3
]}

Szwed, Malgorzata ^{[1
]}

Benestad, Rasmus E. ^{[2
]}

Marcinkowski, Pawel ^{[3
]}

Graczyk, Dariusz ^{[1
]}

Dobler, Andreas ^{[2
]}

Forland, Eirik J. ^{[2
]}

O'Keefe, Joanna ^{[3
]}

Chorynski, Adam ^{[1
]}

Parding, Kajsa M. ^{[2
]}

Haugen, Jan Erik ^{[2
]}

机构：

[1] Polish Acad Sci, Inst Agr & Forest Environm, Poznan, Poland

[2] Norwegian Meteorol Inst Met Norway, Oslo, Norway

[3] Warsaw Univ Life Sci SGGW, Warsaw, Poland

[4] Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res PIK, Potsdam, Germany

来源：

ACTA GEOPHYSICA | 2018年 / 66卷 / 06期

关键词：

Climate change; Climate change impact; Projections; Poland; NORTHERN FOOTHILLS; PROJECTIONS; STATIONARITY; VISTULA; DEAD;

D O I：

10.1007/s11600-018-0220-4

中图分类号：

P3 [地球物理学]; P59 [地球化学];

学科分类号：

0708 ; 070902 ;

摘要：

The present paper offers a brief assessment of climate change and associated impact in Poland, based on selected results of the Polish-Norwegian CHASE-PL project. Impacts are examined in selected sectors, such as water resources, natural hazard risk reduction, environment, agriculture and health. Results of change detection in long time series of observed climate and climate impact variables in Poland are presented. Also, projections of climate variability and change are provided for time horizons of 2021-2050 and 2071-2100 for two emission scenarios, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 in comparison with control period, 1971-2000. Based on climate projections, examination of future impacts on sectors is also carried out. Selected uncertainty issues relevant to observations, understanding and projections are tackled as well.

引用

页码：1509 / 1523

页数：15

共 50 条

[41] Statistical downscaling using principal component regression for climate change impact assessment at the Cauvery river basin
Loganathan, Parthiban
Mahindrakar, Amit Baburao
JOURNAL OF WATER AND CLIMATE CHANGE, 2021, 12 (06) : 2314 - 2324
[42] THE ASSESSMENT OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ON THE ROMANIAN SEASIDE TOURISM
Surugiu, Camelia
Surugiu, Marius Razvan
ECONOMIC RESEARCH-EKONOMSKA ISTRAZIVANJA, 2012, 25 (04): : 959 - 972
[43] Climate Change Impact Assessment on the Temporary Transport Infrastructure
Prokopyev, Egor
Roslyalkova, Natalya
Ryazantsev, Pavel
INNOVATION MANAGEMENT AND EDUCATION EXCELLENCE THROUGH VISION 2020, VOLS I -XI, 2018, : 1894 - 1903
[44] Consideration of climate change on environmental impact assessment in Spain
Enriquez-de-Salamanca, Alvaro
Martin-Aranda, Rosa M.
Diaz-Sierra, Ruben
ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT ASSESSMENT REVIEW, 2016, 57 : 31 - 39
[45] Agricultural community-based impact assessment and farmers’ perception of climate change in selected Ecological Zones in Nigeria
Oluwatimilehin I.A.
Ayanlade A.
Agriculture & Food Security, 10 (1):
[46] On the representation of impact in integrated assessment models of climate change
Richard S.J. Tol
Samuel Fankhauser
Environmental Modeling & Assessment, 1998, 3 (1-2) : 63 - 74
[47] Assessment of climate change impact on Eastern Washington agriculture
Claudio O. Stöckle
Roger L. Nelson
Stewart Higgins
Jay Brunner
Gary Grove
Rick Boydston
Mathew Whiting
Chad Kruger
Climatic Change, 2010, 102 : 77 - 102
[48] Assessment of the Baltic Sea Climate Change Impact on Health
Tarasov, Andrei V.
Rakhmanov, Rofail S.
Bogomolova, Elena S.
Piskarev, Yuri G.
PURE AND APPLIED GEOPHYSICS, 2021, 178 (03) : 777 - 783
[49] Climate Change Impact Assessment of Ski Tourism in Tyrol
Steiger, Robert
Stoetter, Johann
TOURISM GEOGRAPHIES, 2013, 15 (04) : 577 - 600
[50] Assessment of the impact of climate change on cities livability in China
Liang, Li
Deng, Xiangzheng
Wang, Pei
Wang, Zehao
Wang, Lishuang
SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT, 2020, 726

← 1 2 3 4 5 →