Assessment of climate change and associated impact on selected sectors in Poland

被引：65

作者：

Kundzewicz, Zbigniew W. ^{[1
,4
]}

Piniewski, Mikolaj ^{[3
,4
]}

Mezghani, Abdelkader ^{[2
]}

Okruszko, Tomasz ^{[3
]}

Pinskwar, Iwona ^{[1
]}

Kardel, Ignacy ^{[3
]}

Hov, Oystein ^{[2
]}

Szczesniak, Mateusz ^{[3
]}

Szwed, Malgorzata ^{[1
]}

Benestad, Rasmus E. ^{[2
]}

Marcinkowski, Pawel ^{[3
]}

Graczyk, Dariusz ^{[1
]}

Dobler, Andreas ^{[2
]}

Forland, Eirik J. ^{[2
]}

O'Keefe, Joanna ^{[3
]}

Chorynski, Adam ^{[1
]}

Parding, Kajsa M. ^{[2
]}

Haugen, Jan Erik ^{[2
]}

机构：

[1] Polish Acad Sci, Inst Agr & Forest Environm, Poznan, Poland

[2] Norwegian Meteorol Inst Met Norway, Oslo, Norway

[3] Warsaw Univ Life Sci SGGW, Warsaw, Poland

[4] Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res PIK, Potsdam, Germany

来源：

ACTA GEOPHYSICA | 2018年 / 66卷 / 06期

关键词：

Climate change; Climate change impact; Projections; Poland; NORTHERN FOOTHILLS; PROJECTIONS; STATIONARITY; VISTULA; DEAD;

D O I：

10.1007/s11600-018-0220-4

中图分类号：

P3 [地球物理学]; P59 [地球化学];

学科分类号：

0708 ; 070902 ;

摘要：

The present paper offers a brief assessment of climate change and associated impact in Poland, based on selected results of the Polish-Norwegian CHASE-PL project. Impacts are examined in selected sectors, such as water resources, natural hazard risk reduction, environment, agriculture and health. Results of change detection in long time series of observed climate and climate impact variables in Poland are presented. Also, projections of climate variability and change are provided for time horizons of 2021-2050 and 2071-2100 for two emission scenarios, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 in comparison with control period, 1971-2000. Based on climate projections, examination of future impacts on sectors is also carried out. Selected uncertainty issues relevant to observations, understanding and projections are tackled as well.

引用

页码：1509 / 1523

页数：15

共 50 条

[31] Impact of climate change on the streamflow in northern Patagonia
Rivera, Juan
Robo, Malaeka
Bianchi, Emilio
Mulleady, Cristobal
JOURNAL OF WATER AND CLIMATE CHANGE, 2024, 15 (05) : 2074 - 2091
[32] Assessment of climate change impact on water resources in the Pungwe river basin
Andersson, Lotta
Samuelsson, Patrick
Kjellstrom, Erik
TELLUS SERIES A-DYNAMIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY, 2011, 63 (01) : 138 - 157
[33] Storylines of Atmospheric Circulation Change for European Regional Climate Impact Assessment
Zappa, Giuseppe
Shepherd, Theodore G.
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2017, 30 (16) : 6561 - 6577
[34] Effect of modelling scale on the assessment of climate change impact on river runoff
Piniewski, Mikolaj
Voss, Frank
Baerlund, Ilona
Okruszko, Tomasz
Kundzewicz, Zbigniew W.
HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL, 2013, 58 (04) : 737 - 754
[35] Evaluation of climate change impact on plants and hydrology
Shah, Ishaq Ali
Khan, Haroon
Muhammad, Zahir
Ullah, Rehman
Iqbal, Shahid
Nafidi, Hiba-Allah
Bourhia, Mohammed
Salamatullah, Ahmad Mohammad
FRONTIERS IN ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE, 2024, 12
[36] Modelling the impact of climate change on miscanthus and willow for their potential productivity in Poland
Borzecka-Walker, Magdalena
Faber, Antoni
Kozyra, Jerzy
Pudelko, Rafal
Mizak, Katarzyna
Syp, Alina
JOURNAL OF FOOD AGRICULTURE & ENVIRONMENT, 2012, 10 (3-4): : 1437 - 1440
[37] Challenges of Spatial Planning in Poland in the Context of Global Climate Change-Selected Issues
Andrzejewska, Anna Katarzyna
BUILDINGS, 2021, 11 (12)
[38] Impact of climate change on streamflow in selected river basins in Ghana
Kankam-Yeboah, Kwabena
Obuobie, Emmanuel
Amisigo, Barnabas
Opoku-Ankomah, Yaw
HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL, 2013, 58 (04) : 773 - 788
[39] Evaluation of Climate Suitability for Maize Production in Poland under Climate Change
Krol-Badziak, Aleksandra
Kozyra, Jerzy
Rozakis, Stelios
SUSTAINABILITY, 2024, 16 (16)
[40] Water Structures and Climate Change Impact: a Review
Sen, Zekai
WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT, 2020, 34 (13) : 4197 - 4216

← 1 2 3 4 5 →