A climate network-based index to discriminate different types of El Nino and La Nina

被引:50
|
作者
Wiedermann, Marc [1 ,2 ]
Radebach, Alexander [3 ,4 ]
Donges, Jonathan F. [1 ,5 ]
Kurths, Juergen [1 ,2 ,6 ,7 ]
Donner, Reik V. [1 ]
机构
[1] Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res, Potsdam, Germany
[2] Humboldt Univ, Dept Phys, Berlin, Germany
[3] Mercator Res Inst Global Commons & Climate Change, Berlin, Germany
[4] Tech Univ Berlin, Econ Climate Change, Berlin, Germany
[5] Stockholm Univ, Stockholm Resilience Ctr, Stockholm, Sweden
[6] Univ Aberdeen, Inst Complex Syst & Math Biol, Aberdeen, Scotland
[7] Nizhnii Novgorod State Univ, Dept Control Theory, Nizhnii Novgorod, Russia
基金
巴西圣保罗研究基金会;
关键词
El Nino; complex networks; La Nina; Central Pacific El Nino; East Pacific El Nino; SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURE; SOUTHERN-OSCILLATION; TELECONNECTIONS; DYNAMICS; PACIFIC; DROUGHT; ENSO;
D O I
10.1002/2016GL069119
中图分类号
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号
07 ;
摘要
El Nino exhibits distinct Eastern Pacific (EP) and Central Pacific (CP) types which are commonly, but not always consistently, distinguished from each other by different signatures in equatorial climate variability. Here we propose an index based on evolving climate networks to objectively discriminate between both flavors by utilizing a scalar-valued measure that quantifies spatial localization and dispersion in global teleconnections of surface air temperature. Our index displays a sharp peak (high localization) during EP events, whereas during CP events (larger dispersion) it remains close to the values observed during normal periods. In contrast to previous classification schemes, our approach specifically accounts for El Nino's global impacts. We confirm recent El Nino classifications for theyears 1951 to 2014 and assign types to those cases where former works yielded ambiguous results. Ultimately, we demonstrate that our index provides a similar discrimination of La Nina episodes into two distinct types.
引用
收藏
页码:7176 / 7185
页数:10
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