High-resolution assessment of global technical and economic hydropower potential

被引:215
作者
Gernaat, David E. H. J. [1 ,2 ]
Bogaart, Patrick W. [2 ]
van Vuuren, Detlef P. [1 ,2 ]
Biemans, Hester [1 ,3 ]
Niessink, Robin [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] PBL Netherlands Environm Assessment Agcy, Bezuidenhoutseweg 30, NL-2594 AV De Haag, Netherlands
[2] Univ Utrecht, Copernicus Inst Sustainable Dev, Heidelberglaan 2, NL-3584 CS Utrecht, Netherlands
[3] Wageningen Environm Res Alterra, POB 47, NL-6700 AA Wageningen, Netherlands
关键词
WATER-RESOURCES; RIVER-BASINS; SOLAR POWER; IMPACT; MODEL; ELECTRICITY; BIODIVERSITY; BALANCE; DAMS;
D O I
10.1038/s41560-017-0006-y
中图分类号
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要
Hydropower is the most important renewable energy source to date, providing over 72% of all renewable electricity globally. Yet, only limited information is available on the global potential supply of hydropower and the associated costs. Here we provide a high-resolution assessment of the technical and economic potential of hydropower at a near-global scale. Using 15" x 15" discharge and 3" x 3" digital elevation maps, we built virtual hydropower installations at >3.8 million sites across the globe and calculated their potential using cost optimization methods. This way we identified over 60,000 suitable sites, which together represent a remaining global potential of 9.49 PWh yr(-1) below US$0.50 kWh(-1). The largest remaining potential is found in Asia Pacific (39%), South America (25%) and Africa (24%), of which a large part can be produced at low cost (<US$0.10 kWh(-1)). In an ecological scenario, this potential is reduced to 5.67 PWh yr(-1).
引用
收藏
页码:821 / 828
页数:8
相关论文
共 48 条
[1]  
[Anonymous], 2013, FAOSTAT DAT COLL
[2]  
[Anonymous], 2012, COST BAS HYDR PLANTS
[3]  
[Anonymous], 2014, NEW STREAM REACH DEV
[4]  
[Anonymous], 2015, PROJ POW NETW
[5]  
[Anonymous], 2004, THESIS
[6]  
[Anonymous], 2015, ANN PROD PRIC
[7]  
[Anonymous], 2013, WORLD ATL IND GUID
[8]  
[Anonymous], 2012, RENEWABLE ENERGY TEC
[9]  
[Anonymous], 2016, WORLD EN OUTL
[10]  
Arent D, 2012, Tech. Rep. NREL/TP-6A20-55049