Water shortages worsened by reservoir effects

被引：282

作者：

Di Baldassarre, Giuliano ^{[1
,2
]}

Wanders, Niko ^{[3
]}

AghaKouchak, Amir ^{[4
,5
]}

Kuil, Linda ^{[6
]}

Rangecroft, Sally ^{[7
]}

Veldkamp, Ted I. E. ^{[8
]}

Garcia, Margaret ^{[9
]}

van Oel, Pieter R. ^{[10
]}

Breinl, Korbinian ^{[1
,2
]}

Van Loon, Anne F. ^{[7
]}

机构：

[1] Uppsala Univ, Dept Earth Sci, Uppsala, Sweden

[2] CNDS, Ctr Nat Hazards & Disaster Sci, Uppsala, Sweden

[3] Univ Utrecht, Dept Phys Geog, Utrecht, Netherlands

[4] Univ Calif Irvine, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Irvine, CA USA

[5] Univ Calif Irvine, Dept Earth Syst Sci, Irvine, CA USA

[6] Vienna Univ Technol, Ctr Water Resource Syst, Vienna, Austria

[7] Univ Birmingham, Sch Geog Earth & Environm Sci, Birmingham, W Midlands, England

[8] Vrije Univ Amsterdam, Water & Climate Risk Dept, Amsterdam, Netherlands

[9] Arizona State Univ, Sch Sustainable Engn & Built Environm, Tempe, AZ USA

[10] Wageningen Univ, Environm Sci Grp, Wageningen, Netherlands

来源：

NATURE SUSTAINABILITY | 2018年 / 1卷 / 11期

基金：

欧洲研究理事会;

关键词：

CLIMATE-CHANGE; HURRICANE-KATRINA; JEVONS PARADOX; GLOBAL WATER; LAS-VEGAS; RESOURCES; DROUGHT; MANAGEMENT; GROWTH; ANTHROPOCENE;

D O I：

10.1038/s41893-018-0159-0

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

The expansion of reservoirs to cope with droughts and water shortages is hotly debated in many places around the world. We argue that there are two counterintuitive dynamics that should be considered in this debate: supply-demand cycles and reservoir effects. Supply-demand cycles describe instances where increasing water supply enables higher water demand, which can quickly offset the initial benefits of reservoirs. Reservoir effects refer to cases where over-reliance on reservoirs increases vulnerability, and therefore increases the potential damage caused by droughts. Here we illustrate these counterintuitive dynamics with global and local examples, and discuss policy and research implications.

引用

页码：617 / 622

页数：6

共 63 条

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