Portfolio selection under parameter uncertainty using a predictive distribution

被引:0
|
作者
Im, Ji Jung [1 ]
Lim, Hyun Soo [1 ]
Choi, Sung Sub [1 ]
机构
[1] Pohang Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Math, Pohang 790784, South Korea
来源
ANNALS OF ECONOMICS AND FINANCE | 2007年 / 8卷 / 02期
关键词
portfolio selection; parameter uncertainty; estimation error; Bayesian framework; predictive distribution; generalized hyperbolic distribution; utility function; utility restoration ratio;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We propose a portfolio selection model based on a generalized hyperbolic predictive distribution. This distribution incorporates uncertainties in mean and volatility of market returns. We then select an optimal portfolio with expected utility calculated tinder the predictive distribution. We demonstrate the performance of the new approach by applying it to simulated and real market data.
引用
收藏
页码:301 / 312
页数:12
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [31] Interval portfolio selection models within the framework of uncertainty theory
    Li, Xiang
    Qin, Zhongfeng
    ECONOMIC MODELLING, 2014, 41 : 338 - 344
  • [32] Evaluating the impact of inequality constraints and parameter uncertainty on optimal portfolio choice
    Hall, A. D.
    Satchell, S. E.
    Spence, P. J.
    APPLIED ECONOMICS, 2015, 47 (45) : 4801 - 4813
  • [33] Failure Probability Under Parameter Uncertainty
    Gerrard, R.
    Tsanakas, A.
    RISK ANALYSIS, 2011, 31 (05) : 727 - 744
  • [34] Measuring portfolio credit risk correctly: Why parameter uncertainty matters
    Tarashev, Nikola
    JOURNAL OF BANKING & FINANCE, 2010, 34 (09) : 2065 - 2076
  • [35] CREDIBILISTIC PARAMETER ESTIMATION AND ITS APPLICATION IN FUZZY PORTFOLIO SELECTION
    Li, Xiang
    Qin, Zhongfeng
    Ralescu, Dan
    IRANIAN JOURNAL OF FUZZY SYSTEMS, 2011, 8 (02): : 57 - 65
  • [36] Portfolio Selection under Maximum Minimum Criterion
    Yuanyao Ding
    Quality and Quantity, 2006, 40
  • [37] Portfolio selection under maximum minimum criterion
    Ding, Yuanyao
    QUALITY & QUANTITY, 2006, 40 (03) : 457 - 468
  • [38] Portfolio selection under supply chain predictability
    Bjerring T.T.
    Rasmussen K.M.
    Weissensteiner A.
    Computational Management Science, 2018, 15 (2) : 139 - 159
  • [39] Portfolio selection under independent possibilistic information
    Inuiguchi, M
    Tanino, T
    FUZZY SETS AND SYSTEMS, 2000, 115 (01) : 83 - 92
  • [40] Long-term wealth growth portfolio allocation under parameter uncertainty: A non-conservative robust approach
    Zhu, Bo
    Zhang, Tianlun
    NORTH AMERICAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS AND FINANCE, 2021, 57