Radical transformation pathway towards sustainable electricity via evolutionary steps

被引：362

作者：

Bogdanov, Dmitrii ^{[1
]}

Farfan, Javier ^{[1
]}

Sadovskaia, Kristina ^{[1
]}

Aghahosseini, Arman ^{[1
]}

Child, Michael ^{[1
]}

Gulagi, Ashish ^{[1
]}

Oyewo, Ayobami Solomon ^{[1
]}

Noel Simas Barbosa, Larissa de Souza ^{[2
]}

Breyer, Christian ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Lappeenranta Univ Technol, Skinnarilankatu 34, FI-53850 Lappeenranta, Finland

[2] Univ Sao Paulo, Luiz de Queiroz Coll Agr, Piracicaba, Brazil

来源：

NATURE COMMUNICATIONS | 2019年 / 10卷 / 1期

关键词：

ENERGY; PHOTOVOLTAICS; TRANSMISSION; COUNTRIES; SCENARIOS; WIND; RISK;

D O I：

10.1038/s41467-019-08855-1

中图分类号：

O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];

学科分类号：

07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;

摘要：

A transition towards long-term sustainability in global energy systems based on renewable energy resources can mitigate several growing threats to human society simultaneously: greenhouse gas emissions, human-induced climate deviations, and the exceeding of critical planetary boundaries. However, the optimal structure of future systems and potential transition pathways are still open questions. This research describes a global, 100% renewable electricity system, which can be achieved by 2050, and the steps required to enable a realistic transition that prevents societal disruption. Modelling results show that a carbon neutral electricity system can be built in all regions of the world in an economically feasible manner. This radical transformation will require steady but evolutionary changes for the next 35 years, and will lead to sustainable and affordable power supply globally.

引用

页数：16

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