Predictive modeling of industrial structure

被引:0
作者
Wang, HW [1 ]
Huang, W [1 ]
Liu, Q [1 ]
机构
[1] Beihang Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China
来源
ICIM' 2004: PROCEEDINGS OF THE SEVENTH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON INDUSTRIAL MANAGEMENT | 2004年
关键词
compositional data; predictive modeling; industrial structure;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
T [工业技术];
学科分类号
08 ;
摘要
In order to study the dynamic characteristic of industrial structure, pie chart is implemented to describe the development process of each component of industry. The data set involved in a pie chart is also called as compositional data. To analysis the dynamic features of each component in a pie chart, a non-linear approach for dimensionality deduction and a predictive model are proposed for the compositional data indexed by time. Based on the modeling approach, the development trend of the Beijing's industrial structure has been studied. Finally a numerical prediction from 2000 to 2005 of the components in three industries is presented to demonstrate the. structural change trend in Beijing.
引用
收藏
页码:656 / 661
页数:6
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