El Nino-Southern Oscillations and Pacific Decadal Oscillation as Drivers of the Decadal Dynamics of Benthic Macrofauna in Two Subtropical Estuaries (Southern Brazil)

The El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) are large-scale climatic phenomena affecting atmospheric and oceanic teleconnections, and thus triggering weather events at different temporal and spatial scales, both in tropical and extratropical areas. During 11 years (2007-2017), the influence of ENSO events (El Nino, La Nina and neutral), ENSO types (canonical and Modoki) and PDO phases (cold and warm) on meteorological conditions and macrobenthic invertebrates were analyzed in two distinct (tide-dominated and river-dominated) subtropical estuaries of Southern Brazil. The estuarine macrobenthic communities differed markedly, with higher species richness in the tide-dominated estuary (146 taxa) than river-dominated (44). We showed that long-term variability of benthic macrofauna in both estuaries was strongly influenced by the PDO and ENSO events. However, the signs of PDO and ENSO effects differed between the estuaries. While the main modulating force of the decadal variability of the macrofauna of the tide-dominated estuary was the PDO (19%), the river-dominated estuary was primarily influenced by the ENSO (9%). Besides, PDO and ENSO teleconnections have combined effects, with higher macrofauna dissimilarities during constructive periods (PDO Positive/EL Nino vs. PDO Negative/La Nina). Our findings indicate that: (1) The effects of the ENSO on coastal areas are dependent of the spatial scale and the intrinsic characteristics of each estuary; (2) Studies relating ENSO and biodiversity should consider the ENSO type (Modoki and canonical) and interdecadal modes, such as PDO, because the location of the warm pools and the intensity of induced heating affect the atmospheric teleconnections.