Widespread and Accelerated Decrease of Observed Mean and Extreme Snow Depth Over Europe

被引:68
作者
Fontrodona-Bach, A. [1 ,2 ]
van der Schrier, G. [2 ]
Melsen, L. A. [1 ]
Tank, A. M. G. Klein [3 ,4 ]
Teuling, A. J. [1 ]
机构
[1] Wageningen Univ, Hydrol & Quantitat Water Management Grp, Wageningen, Netherlands
[2] Royal Netherlands Meteorol Inst, Dept Observat & Data Technol, De Bilt, Netherlands
[3] Met Off Hadley Ctr, Exeter, Devon, England
[4] Wageningen Univ, Meteorol & Air Qual Sect, Wageningen, Netherlands
关键词
snow depth; decreasing; widespread; acceleration; Europe; LONG-TERM SNOW; TEMPORAL ANALYSIS; UNITED-STATES; CLIMATE; TRENDS; TEMPERATURE; VARIABILITY;
D O I
10.1029/2018GL079799
中图分类号
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号
07 ;
摘要
Accumulated snow amounts are a key climate change indicator. It combines the competing effects of climate change-driven changes in precipitation and stronger snowmelt related to increasing temperatures. Here we provide observational evidence from a pan-European in situ data set that mean snow depth generally decreases stronger than extreme snow depth. Widespread decreases in maximum and mean snow depth were found over Europe, except in the coldest climates, with an average decrease of -12.2%/decade for mean snow depth and -11.4%/decade for maximum snow depth since 1951. These trends accelerated after the 1980s. This has strong implications for the availability of freshwater in spring, while extremes in snow depth, usually very disruptive to society, are decreasing at a slower pace. Plain Language Summary Changes in snow accumulation are a climate change indicator. Global warming brings more extreme precipitation, and higher temperatures lead to less snow accumulation. Studies of the future climate indicate that under strong warming of the planet, extremes of snowfall will decrease less than the average snowfall. In this study, we show that snow accumulation is already dramatically decreasing over Europe, which has strong implications for the availability of freshwater during the melt period in spring. However, extreme snow accumulation, which is usually very disruptive to society, is decreasing at a slower pace.
引用
收藏
页码:12312 / 12319
页数:8
相关论文
共 41 条
[1]  
Abegg B., 2007, CLIMATE CHANGE EUROP, P25, DOI DOI 10.1787/9789264031692-EN
[2]   Impacts of climatic change on water and associated economic activities in the Swiss Alps [J].
Beniston, Martin .
JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY, 2012, 412 :291-296
[3]  
Berghuijs WR, 2014, NAT CLIM CHANGE, V4, P583, DOI [10.1038/NCLIMATE2246, 10.1038/nclimate2246]
[4]   Changes in snow cover characteristics over Northern Eurasia since 1966 [J].
Bulygina, O. N. ;
Groisman, P. Ya ;
Razuvaev, V. N. ;
Korshunova, N. N. .
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2011, 6 (04)
[5]  
Cayan DR, 2001, B AM METEOROL SOC, V82, P399, DOI 10.1175/1520-0477(2001)082<0399:CITOOS>2.3.CO
[6]  
2
[7]   A Spatial and Temporal Analysis of 30-Day Heavy Snowfall Amounts in the Eastern United States, 1900-2016 [J].
Changnon, David .
JOURNAL OF APPLIED METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY, 2018, 57 (02) :319-331
[8]   A spatial and temporal analysis of damaging snowstorms in the United States [J].
Changnon, SA ;
Changnon, D .
NATURAL HAZARDS, 2006, 37 (03) :373-389
[9]  
Collins M, 2014, CLIMATE CHANGE 2013: THE PHYSICAL SCIENCE BASIS, P1029
[10]  
Diffenbaugh NS, 2013, NAT CLIM CHANGE, V3, P379, DOI [10.1038/NCLIMATE1732, 10.1038/nclimate1732]