Prediction of the Profit Function for Industrial 2-Keto-L-Gulonic Acid Cultivation

The profit function is the generic criterion to describe the cost effect of a batch process. To focus on the prediction of the profit function for 2-keto-L-gulonic acid (2-KGA) cultivation, which is potentially applicable for process monitoring and optimal scheduling, rolling learning-prediction (RLP) based on a support vector machine (SVM) is applied. The RLP implies that the SVM training database is rolling updated as the batch of current interest proceeds, and the SVM learning is then repeated for the prediction. The database is further updated after termination of a batch. The updating procedures are investigated in detail. Pseudo-online prediction is carried out using the data from industrial-scale 2-KGA cultivation under actual and hypothetical inoculation sequences. The results indicate that the average relative prediction error is less than 5% in the later phase of fermentation in all inoculation sequences.