A New Body Shape Index Predicts Mortality Hazard Independently of Body Mass Index

被引:822
作者
Krakauer, Nir Y. [1 ]
Krakauer, Jesse C. [2 ]
机构
[1] CUNY, Dept Civil Engn, New York, NY 10021 USA
[2] Middletown Med, Middletown, NY USA
关键词
ALL-CAUSE MORTALITY; TO-HEIGHT RATIO; WAIST CIRCUMFERENCE; CARDIOMETABOLIC RISK; SCREENING TOOL; HEART-DISEASE; WEIGHT-LOSS; OBESITY; ADIPOSITY; FAT;
D O I
10.1371/journal.pone.0039504
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Background: Obesity, typically quantified in terms of Body Mass Index (BMI) exceeding threshold values, is considered a leading cause of premature death worldwide. For given body size (BMI), it is recognized that risk is also affected by body shape, particularly as a marker of abdominal fat deposits. Waist circumference (WC) is used as a risk indicator supplementary to BMI, but the high correlation of WC with BMI makes it hard to isolate the added value of WC. Methods and Findings: We considered a USA population sample of 14,105 non-pregnant adults (age >= 18) from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 1999-2004 with follow-up for mortality averaging 5 yr (828 deaths). We developed A Body Shape Index (ABSI) based on WC adjusted for height and weight: ABSI equivalent to WC/BMI(2/3)height(1/2). ABSI had little correlation with height, weight, or BMI. Death rates increased approximately exponentially with above average baseline ABSI (overall regression coefficient of +33% per standard deviation of ABSI [95% confidence interval: +20%-+48%]), whereas elevated death rates were found for both high and low values of BMI and WC. 22% (8%-41%) of the population mortality hazard was attributable to high ABSI, compared to 15% (3%-30%) for BMI and 15% (4%-29%) for WC. The association of death rate with ABSI held even when adjusted for other known risk factors including smoking, diabetes, blood pressure, and serum cholesterol. ABSI correlation with mortality hazard held across the range of age, sex, and BMI, and for both white and black ethnicities (but not for Mexican ethnicity), and was not weakened by excluding deaths from the first 3 yr of follow-up. Conclusions: Body shape, as measured by ABSI, appears to be a substantial risk factor for premature mortality in the general population derivable from basic clinical measurements. ABSI expresses the excess risk from high WC in a convenient form that is complementary to BMI and to other known risk factors.
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页数:10
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