Short-term prediction of holiday travel demand is a complex but key issue to the planning and management of tour transportation system in big cities. This paper develops an improved spatial and temporal correlation long short-term memory model (STC-LSTM) to forecast short-term holiday travel demand based on deep learning approach. Analysis results show six kinds of tourist flow correlations appears in different sets of tourist attractions, and 27.94 percent of the tourist attractions have mid- or high- positive tourist flow correlation with others, meaning that a positive synchronization mechanism exists between suburban tourist attractions in Beijing. The proposed model predicts the holiday travel demand on the basis of the historical data of the spatial and temporal related tourist flows, and the auxiliary data including meteorological data, temporal data, and Internet search index. Based on actual case study with tourist flow data of the suburban tourist attraction in Beijing, the proposed STC-LSTM is carried out to compared with other conventional prediction approaches. Results show that the proposed approach can improve the prediction accuracy and well capture the different spatial and temporal correlations of tourist flows.
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Escuela Super Politecn Litoral, Fac Ciencias Sociales & Humanist, Campus Gustavo Galindo Km 30-5 Via Perimetral, Guayaquil, EcuadorEscuela Super Politecn Litoral, Fac Ciencias Sociales & Humanist, Campus Gustavo Galindo Km 30-5 Via Perimetral, Guayaquil, Ecuador
Carvache-Franco, Wilmer
Carvache-Franco, Mauricio
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Univ Espiritu Santo, Guayaquil, EcuadorEscuela Super Politecn Litoral, Fac Ciencias Sociales & Humanist, Campus Gustavo Galindo Km 30-5 Via Perimetral, Guayaquil, Ecuador
Carvache-Franco, Mauricio
Carvache-Franco, Orly
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Univ Catolica Santiago Guayaquil, Fac Especialidades Empresariales, Km 1-5 Av Carlos Julio Arosemena, Guayaquil, EcuadorEscuela Super Politecn Litoral, Fac Ciencias Sociales & Humanist, Campus Gustavo Galindo Km 30-5 Via Perimetral, Guayaquil, Ecuador
Carvache-Franco, Orly
Beatriz Hernandez-Lara, Ana
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Univ Rovira & Virgili, Dept Gestio Empreses, Tarragona, SpainEscuela Super Politecn Litoral, Fac Ciencias Sociales & Humanist, Campus Gustavo Galindo Km 30-5 Via Perimetral, Guayaquil, Ecuador
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Amer Univ Sharjah, Sch Business & Management, Dept Mkt, Sharjah, U Arab EmiratesAmer Univ Sharjah, Sch Business & Management, Dept Mkt, Sharjah, U Arab Emirates
Chathoth, Prakash K.
Ungson, Gerardo R.
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San Francisco State Univ, Coll Business, San Francisco, CA 94132 USAAmer Univ Sharjah, Sch Business & Management, Dept Mkt, Sharjah, U Arab Emirates
Ungson, Gerardo R.
Altinay, Levent
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Oxford Brookes Univ, Oxford Sch Hospitality Management, Oxford OX3 0BP, EnglandAmer Univ Sharjah, Sch Business & Management, Dept Mkt, Sharjah, U Arab Emirates
Altinay, Levent
Chan, Eric S. W.
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Hong Kong Polytech Univ, Sch Hotel & Tourism Management, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R ChinaAmer Univ Sharjah, Sch Business & Management, Dept Mkt, Sharjah, U Arab Emirates
Chan, Eric S. W.
Harrington, Robert
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Univ Arkansas, Sch Human Environm Sci, Dept Foods Human Nutr & Hospitality, Fayetteville, AR 72701 USAAmer Univ Sharjah, Sch Business & Management, Dept Mkt, Sharjah, U Arab Emirates
机构:
Escuela Super Politecn Litoral, Fac Ciencias Sociales & Humanist, Campus Gustavo Galindo Km 30-5 Via Perimetral, Guayaquil, EcuadorEscuela Super Politecn Litoral, Fac Ciencias Sociales & Humanist, Campus Gustavo Galindo Km 30-5 Via Perimetral, Guayaquil, Ecuador
Carvache-Franco, Wilmer
Carvache-Franco, Mauricio
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h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Espiritu Santo, Guayaquil, EcuadorEscuela Super Politecn Litoral, Fac Ciencias Sociales & Humanist, Campus Gustavo Galindo Km 30-5 Via Perimetral, Guayaquil, Ecuador
Carvache-Franco, Mauricio
Carvache-Franco, Orly
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Catolica Santiago Guayaquil, Fac Especialidades Empresariales, Km 1-5 Av Carlos Julio Arosemena, Guayaquil, EcuadorEscuela Super Politecn Litoral, Fac Ciencias Sociales & Humanist, Campus Gustavo Galindo Km 30-5 Via Perimetral, Guayaquil, Ecuador
Carvache-Franco, Orly
Beatriz Hernandez-Lara, Ana
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Rovira & Virgili, Dept Gestio Empreses, Tarragona, SpainEscuela Super Politecn Litoral, Fac Ciencias Sociales & Humanist, Campus Gustavo Galindo Km 30-5 Via Perimetral, Guayaquil, Ecuador
机构:
Amer Univ Sharjah, Sch Business & Management, Dept Mkt, Sharjah, U Arab EmiratesAmer Univ Sharjah, Sch Business & Management, Dept Mkt, Sharjah, U Arab Emirates
Chathoth, Prakash K.
Ungson, Gerardo R.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
San Francisco State Univ, Coll Business, San Francisco, CA 94132 USAAmer Univ Sharjah, Sch Business & Management, Dept Mkt, Sharjah, U Arab Emirates
Ungson, Gerardo R.
Altinay, Levent
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Oxford Brookes Univ, Oxford Sch Hospitality Management, Oxford OX3 0BP, EnglandAmer Univ Sharjah, Sch Business & Management, Dept Mkt, Sharjah, U Arab Emirates
Altinay, Levent
Chan, Eric S. W.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Hong Kong Polytech Univ, Sch Hotel & Tourism Management, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R ChinaAmer Univ Sharjah, Sch Business & Management, Dept Mkt, Sharjah, U Arab Emirates
Chan, Eric S. W.
Harrington, Robert
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Arkansas, Sch Human Environm Sci, Dept Foods Human Nutr & Hospitality, Fayetteville, AR 72701 USAAmer Univ Sharjah, Sch Business & Management, Dept Mkt, Sharjah, U Arab Emirates