Human population: The next half century

被引:505
作者
Cohen, JE
机构
[1] Rockefeller Univ, New York, NY 10021 USA
[2] Columbia Univ, New York, NY 10021 USA
关键词
D O I
10.1126/science.1088665
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
By 2050, the human population will probably be larger by 2 to 4 billion people, more slowly growing (declining in the more developed regions), more urban, especially in less developed regions, and older than in the 20th century. Two major demographic uncertainties in the next 50 years concern international migration and the structure of families. Economies, nonhuman environments, and cultures (including values, religions, and politics) strongly influence demographic changes. Hence, human choices, individual and collective, will have demographic effects, intentional or otherwise.
引用
收藏
页码:1172 / 1175
页数:4
相关论文
共 15 条