The relationship between the economic policy uncertainty and the cryptocurrency market

被引:99
作者
Cheng, Hui-Pei [1 ]
Yen, Kuang-Chieh [1 ]
机构
[1] Soochow Univ, Sch Business, Dept Econ, 56 Kue Yang St Sec 1, Taipei 100, Taiwan
关键词
Bitcoin; Cryptocurrencies; Economic policy uncertainty; China; BITCOIN; EFFICIENCY; GOLD;
D O I
10.1016/j.frl.2020.101308
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
In this paper, we investigate whether the economic policy uncertainty (EPU) index provided by Baker et al. (2016) can predict cryptocurrency returns. We show that the EPU index of China can predict the Bitcoin monthly returns while that of U.S. or other Asian countries has no predictive power. Furthermore, the China EPU index has no predictive power for the other main cryptocurrencies. Moreover, China's ban on crypto-trading affects the returns of Bitcoin only among the main cryptocurrencies.
引用
收藏
页数:5
相关论文
共 17 条
[1]  
[Anonymous], 2018, Working Paper No. w24242
[2]   Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty [J].
Baker, Scott R. ;
Bloom, Nicholas ;
Davis, Steven J. .
QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS, 2016, 131 (04) :1593-1636
[3]   Conditional tail-risk in cryptocurrency markets [J].
Borri, Nicola .
JOURNAL OF EMPIRICAL FINANCE, 2019, 50 :1-19
[4]  
Cheng H.P., 2019, WORKING PAPER
[5]  
Corbet S., 2019, WORKING PAPER
[6]   Does economic policy uncertainty predict the Bitcoin returns? An empirical investigation [J].
Demir, Ender ;
Gozgor, Giray ;
Lau, Chi Keung Marco ;
Vigne, Samuel A. .
FINANCE RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 26 :145-149
[7]   Bitcoin, gold and the dollar - A GARCH volatility analysis [J].
Dyhrberg, Anne Haubo .
FINANCE RESEARCH LETTERS, 2016, 16 :85-92
[8]  
Gerritsen D.F., 2019, FINANCE RES LETT
[9]   Market efficiency of the top market-cap cryptocurrencies: Further evidence from a panel framework [J].
Hu, Yang ;
Valera, Harold Glenn A. ;
Oxley, Les .
FINANCE RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 31 :138-145
[10]   A SIMPLE, POSITIVE SEMIDEFINITE, HETEROSKEDASTICITY AND AUTOCORRELATION CONSISTENT COVARIANCE-MATRIX [J].
NEWEY, WK ;
WEST, KD .
ECONOMETRICA, 1987, 55 (03) :703-708