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A new short-term wind speed forecasting method based on fine-tuned LSTM neural network and optimal input sets
被引:246
作者:
Memarzadeh, Gholamreza
[1
]
Keynia, Farshid
[2
]
机构:
[1] Grad Univ Adv Technol, Dept Power & Control Engn, Kerman, Iran
[2] Grad Univ Adv Technol, Inst Sci & High Technol & Environm Sci, Dept Energy Management & Optimizat, Kerman, Iran
关键词:
Wind speed forecasting;
Wavelet transform;
Feature selection;
Crow search algorithm;
Long short term memory;
Neural network;
EMPIRICAL MODE DECOMPOSITION;
TIME-SERIES;
MULTIOBJECTIVE OPTIMIZATION;
WAVELET PACKET;
PREDICTION;
ALGORITHM;
SYSTEM;
ENSEMBLE;
STRATEGY;
LOAD;
D O I:
10.1016/j.enconman.2020.112824
中图分类号:
O414.1 [热力学];
学科分类号:
摘要:
In recent years, clean energies, such as wind power have been developed rapidly. Especially, wind power generation becomes a significant source of energy in some power grids. On the other hand, based on the uncertain and non-convex behavior of wind speed, wind power generation forecasting and scheduling may be very difficult. In this paper, to improve the accuracy of forecasting the short-term wind speed, a hybrid wind speed forecasting model has been proposed based on four modules: crow search algorithm (CSA), wavelet transform (WT), Feature selection (FS) based on entropy and mutual information (MI), and deep learning time series prediction based on Long Short Term Memory neural networks (LSTM). The proposed wind speed forecasting strategy is applied to real-life data from Sotavento that is located in the south-west of Europe, in Galicia, Spain, and Kerman that is located in the Middle East, in the southeast of Iran. The presented numerical results demonstrate the efficiency of the proposed method, compared to some other existing wind speed forecasting methods.
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页数:15
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