The Bitcoin gold correlation puzzle

被引:26
作者
Baur, Dirk G. [1 ]
Hoang, Lai [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Western Australia, Business Sch, Crawley, WA, Australia
关键词
Bitcoin; Gold; Correlation; Similarity; Narrative; Substitution; Catching up; DOLLAR;
D O I
10.1016/j.jbef.2021.100561
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
Bitcoin is regularly referred to as new gold, digital gold or gold 2.0. If Bitcoin is indeed gold-like the correlation of Bitcoin and gold returns should be positive. We estimate the correlation of the two assets across time, across different return frequencies and across quantiles and find a near-zero correlation inconsistent with the claimed similarity. We offer two explanations for this puzzle: either the similarity is only a narrative and not accepted by investors or there are other forces at play that depress the true correlation. Such forces could be a substitution effect, investors sell gold and buy Bitcoin, and a catching up effect, investors buy Bitcoin to catch up with the market weight of gold. (C) 2021 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页数:7
相关论文
共 11 条
[1]   A critical investigation of cryptocurrency data and analysis [J].
Alexander, C. ;
Dakos, M. .
QUANTITATIVE FINANCE, 2020, 20 (02) :173-188
[2]   Bitcoin: Medium of exchange or speculative assets? [J].
Baur, Dirk G. ;
Hong, KiHoon ;
Lee, Adrian D. .
JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MARKETS INSTITUTIONS & MONEY, 2018, 54 :177-189
[3]   Bitcoin, gold and the US dollar - A replication and extension [J].
Baur, Dirk G. ;
Dimpfl, Thomas ;
Kuck, Konstantin .
FINANCE RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 25 :103-110
[4]  
Choi J.-E., 2018, QUANTILE CORRELATION
[5]   Safe haven or risky hazard? Bitcoin during the Covid-19 bear market [J].
Conlon, Thomas ;
McGee, Richard .
FINANCE RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 35
[6]   Bitcoin, gold and the dollar - A GARCH volatility analysis [J].
Dyhrberg, Anne Haubo .
FINANCE RESEARCH LETTERS, 2016, 16 :85-92
[7]  
Gkillas Konstantinos., 2019, Is bitcoin the new digital gold? Evidence from extreme price movements in financial markets
[8]   Bitcoin is not the New Gold - A comparison of volatility, correlation, and portfolio performance [J].
Klein, Tony ;
Hien Pham Thu ;
Walther, Thomas .
INTERNATIONAL REVIEW OF FINANCIAL ANALYSIS, 2018, 59 :105-116
[9]  
Shiller Robert J., 2019, NARRATIVE EC
[10]   Bitcoin as a safe haven: Is it even worth considering? [J].
Smales, L. A. .
FINANCE RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 30 :385-393