Forecast and analysis of Soybean supply and demand in China based on system dynamics

被引：0

作者：

Fei, Qi ^{[1
]}

Zhou, Yanli ^{[1
]}

Zhou, Hongtao ^{[1
]}

Zeng, Wei ^{[1
]}

Wang, Hongwei ^{[1
]}

Chen, Xueguang ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Inst Syst Engn, Wuhan 430074, Hubei, Peoples R China

来源：

2010 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON MANAGEMENT SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING (MSE 2010), VOL 3 | 2010年

关键词：

system dynamics; forecasting; simulation; soybean supply and demand; soybean price;

D O I：

暂无

中图分类号：

C93 [管理学]; O22 [运筹学];

学科分类号：

070105 ; 12 ; 1201 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;

摘要：

The paper is aim to analyze the problems of China's soybean industry, and forecast the changing tendency of it in the next three decades. The soybean forecast model is built based on basic principles of system dynamics, in according to analyzing the main influence factors of soybean production, processing and consumption, and further dissecting the causality of these factors. The model simulated the state of soybean price change, supply and demand in thirty years, in order to provide the data support for dissension-maker in soybean policy analysis.

引用

页码：294 / 297

页数：4