Individual-based lattice model for spatial spread of epidemics

被引:42
作者
Fuks, H [1 ]
Lawniczak, AT
机构
[1] Univ Guelph, Dept Math & Stat, Guelph, ON N1G 2W1, Canada
[2] Univ Guelph, Guelph Waterloo Inst Phys, Guelph, ON N1G 2W1, Canada
[3] Fields Inst Res Math Sci, Toronto, ON M5T 3J1, Canada
[4] Brock Univ, Dept Math, St Catharines, ON L2S 3A1, Canada
关键词
lattice gas cellular automata; modelling of epidemics of infectious diseases; vaccination strategies; spatio-temporal dynamics of epidemics;
D O I
10.1155/S1026022601000206
中图分类号
O1 [数学];
学科分类号
0701 ; 070101 ;
摘要
We present a lattice gas cellular automaton (LGCA) to study spatial and temporal dynamics of an epidemic of SIR (susceptible-infected-removed) type. The automaton is fully discrete, i.e., space, time and number of individuals are discrete variables. The automaton can be applied to study spread of epidemics in both human and animal populations. We investigate effects of spatial inhomogeneities in initial distribution of infected and vaccinated populations on the dynamics of epidemic of SIR type. We discuss vaccination strategies which differ only in spatial distribution of vaccinated individuals. Also, we derive an approximate, mean-field type description of the automaton, and discuss differences between the mean-field dynamics and the results of LGCA simulation.
引用
收藏
页码:191 / 200
页数:10
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