Empirical mode decomposition using deep learning model for financial market forecasting

被引:5
作者
Jin, Zebin [1 ]
Jin, Yixiao [2 ]
Chen, Zhiyun [3 ]
机构
[1] Ocean Univ China, Coll Management, Qingdao, Shandong, Peoples R China
[2] Shanghai Yingcai Informat Technol Ltd, Fengxian, Shanghai, Peoples R China
[3] Jinan Univ, Shenzhen, Peoples R China
关键词
Deep learning; Decision making and analysis; EMD; Eigenmode function; Interval EMD; Particle swarm optimization; Time series; CRUDE-OIL PRICE; NEURAL-NETWORK; EXCHANGE-RATE; VOLATILITY; ALGORITHM; MOVEMENT; INTERNET; SPECTRUM;
D O I
10.7717/peerj-cs.1076
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
Financial market forecasting is an essential component of financial systems; however, predicting financial market trends is a challenging job due to noisy and non-stationary information. Deep learning is renowned for bringing out excellent abstract features from the huge volume of raw data without depending on prior knowledge, which is potentially fascinating in forecasting financial transactions. This article aims to propose a deep learning model that autonomously mines the statistical rules of data and guides the financial market transactions based on empirical mode decomposition (EMD) with back-propagation neural networks (BPNN). Through the characteristic time scale of data, the intrinsic wave pattern was obtained and then decomposed. Financial market transaction data were analyzed, optimized using PSO, and predicted. Combining the nonlinear and non-stationary financial time series can improve prediction accuracy. The predictive model of deep learning, based on the analysis of the massive financial trading data, can forecast the future trend of financial market price, forming a trading signal when particular confidence is satisfied. The empirical results show that the EMD-based deep learning model has an excellent predicting performance.
引用
收藏
页数:28
相关论文
共 98 条
  • [1] Ahmed W.M.A., 2022, Q REV EC FINANCE, V83, P135, DOI DOI 10.1016/J.QREF.2021.12.003
  • [2] Deep Learning to Predict Falls in Older Adults Based on Daily-Life Trunk Accelerometry
    Aicha, Ahmed Nait
    Englebienne, Gwenn
    van Schooten, Kimberley S.
    Pijnappels, Mirjam
    Krose, Ben
    [J]. SENSORS, 2018, 18 (05)
  • [3] Aileni RM, 2016, P 1 PHD S SUSTAINABL, P37
  • [4] RETRACTED: Stock market analysis using candlestick regression and market trend prediction (CKRM) (Retracted Article)
    Ananthi, M.
    Vijayakumar, K.
    [J]. JOURNAL OF AMBIENT INTELLIGENCE AND HUMANIZED COMPUTING, 2021, 12 (05) : 4819 - 4826
  • [5] A review of machine learning experiments in equity investment decision-making: why most published research findings do not live up to their promise in real life
    Buczynski, Wojtek
    Cuzzolin, Fabio
    Sahakian, Barbara
    [J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DATA SCIENCE AND ANALYTICS, 2021, 11 (03) : 221 - 242
  • [6] Measurement of Economic Forecast Accuracy: A Systematic Overview of the Empirical Literature
    Buturac, Goran
    [J]. JOURNAL OF RISK AND FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT, 2022, 15 (01)
  • [7] Harmonic separation from grid voltage using ensemble empirical-mode decomposition and independent component analysis
    Cai, Kewei
    Wang, Zhiqiang
    Li, Guofeng
    He, Donggang
    Song, Jinyan
    [J]. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS ON ELECTRICAL ENERGY SYSTEMS, 2017, 27 (11):
  • [8] EfficientNet: A Low-bandwidth IoT Image Sensor Framework for Cassava Leaf Disease Classification
    Chen, Chih-Cheng
    Ba, Ju Yan
    Li, Tie Jun
    Chan, Christopher Chun Ki
    Wang, Kun Ching
    Liu, Zhen
    [J]. SENSORS AND MATERIALS, 2021, 33 (11) : 4031 - 4044
  • [9] Forecasting tourism demand based on empirical mode decomposition and neural network
    Chen, Chun-Fu
    Lai, Ming-Cheng
    Yeh, Ching-Chiang
    [J]. KNOWLEDGE-BASED SYSTEMS, 2012, 26 : 281 - 287
  • [10] Demand Forecasting for Multichannel Fashion Retailers by Integrating Clustering and Machine Learning Algorithms
    Chen, I-Fei
    Lu, Chi-Jie
    [J]. PROCESSES, 2021, 9 (09)