Entropy method combined with extreme learning machine method for the short-term photovoltaic power generation forecasting

被引:61
作者
Tang, Pingzhou [1 ]
Chen, Di [1 ]
Hou, Yushuo [1 ]
机构
[1] North China Elect Power Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China
关键词
Entropy method; Extreme learning machine; Photovoltaic power generation forecasting;
D O I
10.1016/j.chaos.2015.11.008
中图分类号
O1 [数学];
学科分类号
0701 ; 070101 ;
摘要
As the world's energy problem becomes more severe day by day, photovoltaic power generation has opened a new door for us with no doubt. It will provide an effective solution for this severe energy problem and meet human's needs for energy if we can apply photovoltaic power generation in real life, Similar to wind power generation, photovoltaic power generation is uncertain. Therefore, the forecast of photovoltaic power generation is very crucial. In this paper, entropy method and extreme learning machine (ELM) method were combined to forecast a short-term photovoltaic power generation. First, entropy method is used to process initial data, train the network through the data after unification, and then forecast electricity generation. Finally, the data results obtained through the entropy method with ELM were compared with that generated through generalized regression neural network (GRNN) and radial basis function neural network (RBF) method. We found that entropy method combining with ELM method possesses higher accuracy and the calculation is faster. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:243 / 248
页数:6
相关论文
共 13 条
[11]  
Yi Lingzhi LS, 2013, POWER TECHNOL, V4, P606
[12]  
Yuan Xiaoling SJ, 2013, CHIN SOC ELECT ENG, V34, P57
[13]  
Zaman K, 2014, ANN PHYS, V29, P336, DOI [10.1016/kser.2013.08.091, DOI 10.1016/KSER.2013.08.091]