The Koppen-Trewartha Climate-Type Changes Over the CORDEX-East Asia Phase 2 Domain Under 2 and 3 °C Global Warming

被引：24

作者：

Jo, Sera ^{[1
]}

Ahn, Joong-Bae ^{[1
,2
]}

Cha, Dong-hyun ^{[3
]}

Min, Seung-Ki ^{[4
]}

Suh, Myoung-Seok ^{[5
]}

Byun, Young-Hwa ^{[6
]}

Kim, Jin-Uk ^{[6
]}

机构：

[1] Pusan Natl Univ, Dept Atmospher Sci, Busan, South Korea

[2] Pusan Natl Univ, Dept Atmospher Sci, Climate Predict Lab, Busan, South Korea

[3] Ulsan Natl Inst Sci & Technol, Ulsan, South Korea

[4] Pohang Univ Sci & Technol, Div Environm Sci & Engn, Pohang, South Korea

[5] Kongju Natl Univ, Dept Atmospher Sci, Kong Ju, South Korea

[6] Natl Inst Meteorol Res, Climate Res Div, Jeju, South Korea

来源：

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS | 2019年 / 46卷 / 23期

关键词：

Paris Agreement CORDEX East Asia Koppen-Trewartha climate-type; BIAS CORRECTION; TIBETAN PLATEAU; HYDROCLIMATIC INTENSITY; PROJECTED CHANGES; EXTREME CLIMATE; CO2; EMISSIONS; HEAT-STRESS; MODEL; PRECIPITATION; ENSEMBLE;

D O I：

10.1029/2019GL085452

中图分类号：

P [天文学、地球科学];

学科分类号：

07 ;

摘要：

For the comprehensive estimation of regional climate change over East Asia (EA) at the 2 and 3 degrees C global warming levels (GWLs), the Koppen-Trewartha climate-type change is assessed with ensemble regional climate change projections in line with Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX)-EA phase 2. Under the 2 degrees C (3 degrees C) GWL, 17.6% (25.2%) of the EA region is expected to undergo major climate-type changes. Tropical and subtropical climate types will expand northward, accompanied by increasing hydroclimatic intensity. Limiting GWL to 2 degrees C shows benefits by preventing subtropical-type expansion around far EA. Desertification over inland regions of EA exhibits scenario dependency. Boreal and tundra climate types over high-latitude regions will tend to decrease rapidly, especially over the Tibetan Plateau. The results are expected to be a baseline assessment of climate change over EA under the 2 and 3 degrees C GWLs above the preindustrial level.

引用

页码：14030 / 14041

页数：12

共 101 条

[1] Changes of precipitation extremes over South Korea projected by the 5 RCMs under RCP scenarios [J].